1808 City Cemetary Rd · Owensville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Low maintenance home with vinyl siding and steel roof, many updates, very close to town, 4 bedroom, 1 bath with room for an added bath, great kitchen, big game room, large lot with huge shade trees and beautiful patio, oversize detached garage.
Key facts
- 1.12 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage (has garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Propane (leased); Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Scattered woods; Some trees
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Bar
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.1% in Owensville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#304 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gasconade County R-II (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #114 of 324 in MO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Owensville Elem. (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #517 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 526 students, 56% FRL); Owensville High (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 541 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Gasconade County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gasconade County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.95%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,903
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 E Madison Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,695 (+0%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $153 | 82 |
| 107 E Franklin Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-9%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $117 | 65 |
| 509 E Washington Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (+10%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 112 W Monroe Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,535 (-9%) | 12mo | $214,900 | $140 | 53 |
| 401 S 4th St | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 | 1,750 (+4%) | 15mo | $194,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 302 Springfield Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-1%) | 10mo | $189,900 | $114 | 52 |
| 403 S 5th | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,812 (+7%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $121 | 51 |
| 403 Ahr Strom Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-11%) | 3mo | $227,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 701 S 7th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (+0%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 211 W Madison Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-11%) | 10mo | $199,750 | $133 | 45 |
| 603 E Franklin | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,461 (-14%) | 18mo | $210,900 | $144 | 45 |
| 406 South 5th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,562 (-8%) | 14mo | $152,900 | $98 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-14,813
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-5,995
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65066
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 497-char remark
-
2026-06-18$125,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,212 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$395/yr (+$33/mo · 48.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,047
- − Management
- −$1,047
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,085
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$260
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gasconade County R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2923340
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,548
- Composite
- 36.46/100
- National rank
- #4663
- State rank
- #114 of 324 in MO
Livability — Owensville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #13884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,021
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,021
Population outlook (Gasconade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,190 people
- By 2030
- 13,687 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 12,480 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 11,227 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 8,878 · -37.4%
- By 2100
- 6,570 · -53.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gasconade
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.4% · R 79.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+58.3 2016: R+55.8 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.95%
- Current HPI
- 244.209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+66.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-18 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-24 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-10-21 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-13 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-10 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-08 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-11 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…