15208 Elderwood Ave · East Cleveland, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial in East Cleveland. This move-in-ready home blends classic charm with modern updates throughout. Recent renovations include fresh paint, updated flooring, and a refreshed kitchen and bathroom designed for today’s living. The spacious living and dining areas offer great natural light and a functional layout, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full updated bath. The home also features a full basement providing ample storage or potential additional living space. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major highways. Whether you’re a homeowner or investor, this newly renovated Colonial is a fantastic opportunity—schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Updated flooring
- Renovated colonial
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Caledonia Elementary School (246 students, 0% FRL); W.H. Kirk Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 291 students, 0% FRL); Shaw High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 541 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 92% district-wide (92 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,232/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $125k implies a 229% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.63%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $32,694
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 282.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1367 Shawview Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (+5%) | 8mo | $22,000 | $17 | 76 |
| 15801 Hazel Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,246 (+2%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $28 | 67 |
| 16007 Elderwood Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $25 | 65 |
| 14312 Scioto Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (-10%) | 2mo | $23,500 | $22 | 64 |
| 1524 E 133rd St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+1%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $24 | 59 |
| 14629 Ardenall Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+14%) | 14mo | $59,000 | $43 | 58 |
| 13500 Claiborne Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,297 (+7%) | 5mo | $44,500 | $34 | 55 |
| 1273 E 135th St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+3%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $52 | 52 |
| 1278 E 152nd St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (-7%) | 14mo | $31,000 | $27 | 50 |
| 945 Dresden Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $63 | 46 |
| 1929 Taylor Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+10%) | 15mo | $128,000 | $95 | 42 |
| 983 Brunswick Rd | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,308 (+8%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $61 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,243
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $22,883
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44112
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,232 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $229 | +0% $193 | +5% $158 | +10% $123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $145 | +0% $193 | +5% $242 | +10% $291 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $225 | base $193 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15421 Plymouth Pl East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $972 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1801 Stanwood Rd Unit 13 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1726 Taylor Rd East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $972 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14835 Euclid Ave Cleveland, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $850 | $1.19 | 45d | 12 | 0.25mi |
| 1867 N Taylor Rd Apt 309 Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14205 Savannah Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14312 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14813 Alder Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14005 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,570 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 2 East Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,390 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,200 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 13900 Potomac Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,355 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16000 Terrace Rd Cleveland, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,210 | $1.21 | 3d | 39 | 0.60mi |
| 1459 E 134th St Unit up East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $850 | $0.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 876 Eloise Dr Unit Upper Cleveland Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1423 | $1,795 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 886 Helmsdale Rd Cleveland Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $995 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 915 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 983 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3337 Sylvanhurst Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1334 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 953 Whitby Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,575 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 963 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,650 | $2.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 967 Selwyn Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1214 | $1,595 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13605 Terrace Rd Unit RD-5 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3406 Henderson Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1343 | $2,250 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14120 Superior Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14120 Superior Ave Unit 4 East Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 13540 Superior Rd Cleveland, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $850 | $1.30 | 18d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 2270 Noble Rd Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13420 Euclid Ave Unit 1817-307 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13420 Euclid Ave Unit 13444-214 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1099 Woodview Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1007 Elbon Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $1,400 | $1.01 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1035 Elbon Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1304 | $1,675 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2401 N Taylor Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1347 | $1,325 | $0.98 | 9d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 994 Yellowstone Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,395 | $0.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 14120 Superior Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,400 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1545 Glenmont Rd Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $800 | $0.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-02-20$125,000 Active 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath Colonial in East Cleveland. This move-in-ready home blends classic charm with modern updates throughout. Recent renovations include fresh paint, updated flooring, and a refreshed kitchen and bathroom designed for today’s living. The spacious living and dining areas offer great natural light and a functional layout, perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and a full updated bath. The home also features a full basement providing ample storage or potential additional living space. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major highways. Whether you’re a homeowner or investor, this newly renovated Colonial is a fantastic opportunity—schedule your showing today.
-
2009-02-01historical
-
2008-08-01$2,150
-
2008-06-30historical
-
2008-01-04$8,556
-
1988-01-07soldstatus $38,000
-
1982-06-15soldstatus $25,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $870 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,410 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$540/yr (+$45/mo · 62.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,183
- − Management
- −$1,183
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Cleveland City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,726
- Composite
- 7.38/100
- National rank
- #9954
- State rank
- #652 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Cleveland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #11510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Cleveland, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 17,848
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,848
- Household income
- $28,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1702.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.61%
- Current HPI
- 67.2162
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+390.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $125,000 MLSNOW
- 2009-02-01 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-08-01 Listed $2,150 MLSNOW
- 2008-06-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-01-04 Listed $8,556 MLSNOW
- 1988-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1982-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $870 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…