319 8th St E · Albert Lea, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a double wide corner lot. Located close to parks and school. Newer furnace and central air conditioning. Detached garage with door opener. House & garage both could use some TLC.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to school
- Newer furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with concrete apron and garage door opener; 1-car garage (approximately 14 x 22)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric service with fuses; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One level; Pitched asphalt roof (over 8 years old)
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation dimensions about 22 x 30; Built with vinyl exterior
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry located on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Albert Lea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Albert Lea Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #258 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $67k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,058
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -31.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-775
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $14,950
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56007
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $877 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $594/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 E 7th St Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $795 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 821 Jefferson Ave Unit 2 Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 821 Jefferson Ave Unit 3 Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $995 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $79,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$89,900 Active 225-char remark
-
2006-02-09soldstatus $67,000
-
1998-03-31soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $594 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 25.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$594
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$842
- − Management
- −$842
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,051
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albert Lea Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2702970
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,776
- Composite
- 29.62/100
- National rank
- #6472
- State rank
- #258 of 301 in MN
Livability — Albert Lea
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #5963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albert Lea, MN
- County
- Freeborn County · 21,377 people
- City population
- 21,377
- Metro
- Albert Lea, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,377
- Household income
- $68,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 483.0
Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,680 people
- By 2030
- 29,038 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 27,650 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 26,387 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 25,224 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 23,842 · -19.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.40%
- Current HPI
- 220.7963
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albert Lea, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+170.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $594 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…