13026 Dianna Lee Dr · Barrett, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$257,490
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New Construction Lennar Houston Home - The Whitetail Floor Plan - The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open layout
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price available
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design: Single-family home (Whitetail plan); Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,979 square feet; Address: 13026 Dianna Lee Dr, Crosby, TX 77532
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features: Spec new construction (Whitetail plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $257k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-220/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,335 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Crosby ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #369 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crosby Middle (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 1,549 students, 60% FRL); Crosby H S (math 44% / reading 45%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 1,937 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1189 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.30%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,682
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13046 Dianna Lee Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,979 (0%) | 1mo | $233,490 | $118 | 98 |
| 13007 Dianna Lee Ln | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 1,979 (0%) | 1mo | $282,990 | $143 | 95 |
| 12919 Dianna Lee Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 1,979 (0%) | 1mo | $280,490 | $142 | 95 |
| 12942 Dianna Lee Ln | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 1,979 (0%) | 2mo | $285,990 | $145 | 95 |
| 12746 Oat Grass Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,922 (-3%) | 2mo | $302,990 | $158 | 80 |
| 1338 Sea Oats Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,922 (-3%) | 2mo | $306,990 | $160 | 79 |
| 1331 Sea Oats Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,922 (-3%) | 2mo | $304,990 | $159 | 78 |
| 12734 Oat Grass Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,922 (-3%) | 2mo | $307,990 | $160 | 78 |
| 1223 Bonnerjee Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,859 (-6%) | 1mo | $292,990 | $158 | 69 |
| 1339 Sea Oats Dr | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 | 2,157 (+9%) | 1mo | $316,990 | $147 | 68 |
| 1226 Bonnerjee Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-4%) | 1mo | $301,990 | $159 | 68 |
| 1218 Bonnerjee Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-4%) | 1mo | $272,040 | $143 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-46,279
- Equity at exit
- $38,393
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-55,281
- Equity at exit
- $22,263
Cash invested: $72,097 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1189
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,350
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $160 | -5% $71 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-107 | +10% $-196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-18 | +5% $72 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $47 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-85 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,372
- Closing costs
- $7,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $257,490 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 637-char remark
-
2026-06-17price $257,490 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 415-char remark
-
2026-06-17$253,490 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,423
- − Property taxes
- −$3,862
- − Insurance
- −$1,287
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,201
- − Management
- −$2,201
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,491
- Taxable loss
- −$4,554
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,093
- After-tax cash flow
- $873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This new construction home is move-in ready with no visible signs of wear or damage. It is ideal for investors looking for a turnkey property.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crosby ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,079
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5012
- State rank
- #369 of 826 in TX
Livability — Barrett
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1335
- US rank
- #22991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barrett, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,780
- Household income
- $92,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 382.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.63%
- Current HPI
- 264.0126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…