2314 Thomas Ave N · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Spacious countertops
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking only
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Entry includes front porch
- Construction: Block foundation; Roof replaced within last 8 years
- Exterior features: Front porch; Vinyl exterior; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 128
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one bedroom on main level, additional bedrooms on main and upper levels)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Porch; Washer/dryer hookup; Stainless steel appliances
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer/Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($607/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lucy Laney Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #800 of 857 statewide, top 95%, 339 students, 89% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #255 of 258 statewide, top 100%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Henry High (reading 70%, 858 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 58% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-32 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $107k; list at $225k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.96%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,829
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3020 Queen Ave N | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 956 (+7%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $157 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,858
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $20,078
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55411
- Home prices YoY
- -8.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,602/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $178 | -5% $114 | +0% $51 | +5% $-13 | +10% $-77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-95 | -5% $-22 | +0% $51 | +5% $123 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $164 | -0.5pp $108 | base $51 | +0.5pp $-8 | +1.0pp $-67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $1,695 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2323 26th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,717 | $2.13 | 16d | 3 | 0.22mi |
| 2000 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 9d | 4 | 0.39mi |
| 1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1816 Zephyr Pl Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,050 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1507 N Newton Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,499 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2947 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2947 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2600 France Ave N Unit 2600 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,599 | $1.45 | 6d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2419 Plymouth Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,795 | $2.15 | 5d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 1239 Sheridan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 5d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 1255 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,419 | $2.24 | 4d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 2124 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,580 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3255 N Logan Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1407 N 15th Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,300 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2620 Emerson Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,900 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1016 N Newton Ave Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,895 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 835 W Broadway Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 849 | $2,150 | $2.53 | 4d | 7 | 1.13mi |
| 1030 Knox Ave N Apt 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,099 | $2.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3211 N 6th St Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 26d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending
-
2026-04-22historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-08$224,900 Active
-
2024-01-29soldstatus $107,000
-
2024-01-23soldstatus $107,000 Sold 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2024-01-14status Pending 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2024-01-08historical Contingent - Inspection 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-11-16status Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-11-16price $125,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-11-14historical Contingent - Inspection 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-09-28price $140,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-08-22price $150,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-08-12$160,000 Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
2023-08-04historical $160,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Cute and affordable 2 bedroom home offering maintenance free siding and roof both done approximately 5 years ago. This home is ready for it's new homeowner to add their personal touch.
-
1999-10-26soldstatus $74,000
-
1999-07-16soldstatus $27,500
-
1999-05-25historical
-
1998-11-21$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,602 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,061 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$458/yr (+$38/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,135
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,602
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$3,274
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$786
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,741
- Household income
- $60,225
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1826.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.91%
- Current HPI
- 356.6758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+652.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $224,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-23 Sold (MLS) $107,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-16 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-16 Price Changed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-14 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-28 Price Changed $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-22 Price Changed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-12 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-04 Coming Soon $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1999-07-16 Sold (MLS) $27,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-05-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-11-21 Listed $29,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,602 · -43.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…