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616 N 4th St
C+ Composite 61.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$136,000

616 N 4th St · Beatrice, NE 68310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,415 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1915 6,784 sqft lot $96/sqft · 21% above area Est $165k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,784 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1915

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two parking spaces (two covered spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Not new / not a model; Below-grade finished area and above-grade finished area present
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built in 1915
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Partial fencing; Lot up to 1/4 acre (approximately 0.25 acres); Lot dimensions approximately 140 x 50

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located in the basement; Additional bedrooms on the main floor
  • Bathrooms: Two total bathrooms (one full and one three-quarter); One main-level bathroom; One below-grade bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (2.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Beatrice — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#21 in NE, #1,637 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Beatrice Public Schools (town): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #92 of 111 in NE (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Beatrice Community Preschool (226 students, 54% FRL); Beatrice Middle School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade D-, #71 of 128 statewide, top 55%, 421 students, 48% FRL); Beatrice High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #98 of 261 statewide, top 40%, 644 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 41 units permitted in Gage County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gage County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,943 (2.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.83%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,413
List price
$136,000
Delta
-17.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
819 Lincoln St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,372 (-3%) 2mo $136,500 $99 75
623 N 8th St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-5%) 14mo $133,000 $99 65
1106 N 8 St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,528 (+8%) 1mo $230,000 $151 64
815 N 8th St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,339 (-5%) 6mo $125,000 $93 64
1309 N 8th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-5%) 4mo $136,000 $101 59
1419 Grant St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+3%) 3mo $79,000 $54 53
1109 Pelham 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-14%) 3mo $120,000 $99 48
1124 Garfield St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (+10%) 11mo $185,000 $119 42
900 Bell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,592 (+12%) 3mo $75,000 $47 41
1322 N 10th St 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,277 (-10%) 14mo $170,000 $133 32
1315 Summit St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (-15%) 8mo $145,000 $120 28
420 S 5th St 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,208 (-15%) 10mo $55,000 $46 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-8,282
Equity at exit
$20,278
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$10,374
Equity at exit
$11,759

Cash invested: $38,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68310

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$713
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $764/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,055
Max offer price $136,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $294 -5% $255 +0% $217 +5% $178 +10% $140
Rent -10% $112 -5% $164 +0% $217 +5% $269 +10% $322
Rate -1.0pp $285 -0.5pp $251 base $217 +0.5pp $181 +1.0pp $146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,000
Closing costs
$4,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
527 Irving St Beatrice, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,295 $1.42 45d 10 0.55mi
1215 N 10th St Beatrice, NE 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,500 $1.02 45d 1 0.60mi
723 W Mary St Unit 3 Beatrice, NE 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 45d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 265-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    price $136,000 265-char remark
  3. 2026-04-25
    listed $145,000 New 265-char remark
  4. 2025-08-20
    historical
  5. 2025-07-18
    price $159,900
  6. 2025-06-14
    price $169,900
  7. 2025-06-04
    price $174,900
  8. 2025-05-20
    listed $179,900 New
  9. 2024-05-29
    soldstatus $150,000
  10. 2018-12-27
    soldstatus $350,000
  11. 2010-06-18
    soldstatus $6,650
  12. 2010-04-01
    listed $12,500
  13. 2007-02-05
    soldstatus $44,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$764 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,353 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$1,588/yr (+$132/mo · 207.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,953
− Mortgage interest
−$7,618
− Property taxes
−$764
− Insurance
−$680
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$3,956
Taxable income
$382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$92
After-tax cash flow
$2,509/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beatrice Public Schools
NCES district ID
3103600
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,020
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4899
State rank
#92 of 111 in NE

Livability — Beatrice

Score
80/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1637

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beatrice, NE
County
Gage County · 14,093 people
City population
14,093
Metro
Beatrice, NE
Population (ZIP)
14,093
Household income
$60,928
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
369.0

Population outlook (Gage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,133 people
By 2030
20,629 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,398 · -8.2%
By 2050
18,049 · -14.6%
By 2075
15,504 · -26.6%
By 2100
12,941 · -38.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gage

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.7% · R 68.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.13%
Current HPI
243.8948
Rent YoY
Metro
Beatrice, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $140,231 Public Records
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $136,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $136,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $145,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $159,900 GPRMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Price Changed $169,900 GPRMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $174,900 GPRMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $179,900 GPRMLS
  • 2024-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2010-06-18 Sold (MLS) $6,650 GPRMLS
  • 2010-04-01 Listed $12,500 GPRMLS
  • 2007-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $764 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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