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1303 Caldwell St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1303 Caldwell St · Statesville, NC 28677
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1926 7,405 sqft lot Est $241k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Long-term upside
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSTRONG RENTAL HISTORYINCOME-PRODUCING PROPERTIESIMMEDIATE CASH FLOWLONG-TERM UPSIDENEAR STATESVILLE AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning R5MFM
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no main-level garage)
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road; Road surfaces include dirt, gravel, concrete and paved

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Has fireplace; 1 total room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $145,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$241,488) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 471 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $145k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.74%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,488
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 New Bern Ave 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,394 (-1%) 4mo $255,000 $183 88
1012 4th St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,377 (-2%) 1mo $160,000 $116 79
1000 Caldwell St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,340 (-5%) 3mo $230,000 $172 73
812 W Raleigh Ave W #7 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,392 (-1%) 3mo $220,000 $158 69
1316 4th St 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,244 (-11%) 3mo $225,000 $181 66
1021 4th St 0.25mi 3/2.5 1,266 (-10%) 3mo $240,000 $190 64
1818 Wilson W Lee Blvd 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,491 (+6%) 2mo $229,000 $154 57
914 Wilmington Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,240 (-12%) 1mo $220,000 $177 52
1426 Harris St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,311 (-7%) 4mo $265,000 $202 51
211 Forest Hollow Dr 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,596 (+14%) 1mo $210,000 $132 50
901 8th St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,608 (+14%) 3mo $110,000 $68 46
933 Wallace St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,216 (-13%) 2mo $85,000 $70 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,429
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$21,219
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28677

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
471
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $530/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
321 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 2d 1 0.21mi
333 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC 3.0 3.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 2d 1 0.22mi
1017 Caldwell St Statesville, NC 4.0 2.0 1283 $1,800 $1.40 23d 1 0.25mi
1203 Wilson W Lee Blvd Statesville, NC 3.0 1.0 1585 $1,500 $0.95 23d 1 0.25mi
620 W Bell St Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,850 $1.53 21d 1 0.83mi
804 Jost St Unit 70 Statesville, NC 3.0 2.5 1446 $1,923 $1.33 23d 1 0.89mi
708 W Front St Statesville, NC 2.0 1.0 950 $985 $1.04 2d 1 1.07mi
626 Walnut St Unit D Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1090 $1,100 $1.01 23d 1 1.12mi
627 Cherry St Unit F Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 1.16mi
936 W Front St Statesville, NC 4.0 1.0 1826 $1,600 $0.88 23d 1 1.25mi
548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,850 $1.26 12d 1 1.26mi
548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,850 $1.26 10d 1 1.26mi
1010 Foxcroft Ln Statesville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,357 $1.53 2d 18 1.44mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-03-27
    listed $145,000 Active
  10. 2021-08-04
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."

  11. 2021-07-19
    historical Active Under Contract 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."

  12. 2021-07-15
    listed $49,000 Active 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$530 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$659/yr (+$55/mo · 124.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,198
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$530
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,616
− Management
−$1,616
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$3,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$809
After-tax cash flow
$4,768/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Statesville

Score
59/100
State rank
#557
US rank
#20505

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Statesville, NC
County
Iredell County · 182,638 people
City population
78,393
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
38,819
Household income
$62,406
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
1174.0

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.76%
Current HPI
243.0445
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-19 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-15 Listed $49,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $530 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…