🏷️ Likely Rental
1303 Caldwell St · Statesville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Long-term upside
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning R5MFM
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no main-level garage)
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Site-built construction; Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Publicly maintained road; Road surfaces include dirt, gravel, concrete and paved
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Has fireplace; 1 total room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 471 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $145k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,488
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 New Bern Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,394 (-1%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $183 | 88 |
| 1012 4th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (-2%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $116 | 79 |
| 1000 Caldwell St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-5%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $172 | 73 |
| 812 W Raleigh Ave W #7 | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (-1%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 1316 4th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,244 (-11%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $181 | 66 |
| 1021 4th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,266 (-10%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $190 | 64 |
| 1818 Wilson W Lee Blvd | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,491 (+6%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $154 | 57 |
| 914 Wilmington Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-12%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 1426 Harris St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-7%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $202 | 51 |
| 211 Forest Hollow Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+14%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 901 8th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,608 (+14%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $68 | 46 |
| 933 Wallace St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-13%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $70 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,429
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $21,219
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28677
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,683 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $530/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 333 Vernon Ln Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1017 Caldwell St Statesville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1203 Wilson W Lee Blvd Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1585 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 620 W Bell St Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 804 Jost St Unit 70 Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1446 | $1,923 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 708 W Front St Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $985 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 626 Walnut St Unit D Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1090 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 627 Cherry St Unit F Statesville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 936 W Front St Statesville, NC | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1826 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 548 Greenway Dr Statesville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1010 Foxcroft Ln Statesville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,357 | $1.53 | 2d | 18 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27$145,000 Active
-
2021-08-04soldstatus $40,000 Closed 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."
-
2021-07-19historical Active Under Contract 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."
-
2021-07-15$49,000 Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Calling investors! This 3br 1ba home just became vacant from a tenant that was there for 25 years. The property needs work from the long tenure of the last tenant but it has potential. Home has a basement/crawlspace. Roof is approximately 5 years old. Rent potential of $800-$1,000/month depending on rehab level. Sold "as-is, where is."
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $530 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$659/yr (+$55/mo · 124.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$530
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,616
- − Management
- −$1,616
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,371
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,768/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iredell-Statesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702310
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,201
- Composite
- 44.98/100
- National rank
- #2703
- State rank
- #51 of 178 in NC
Livability — Statesville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #20505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Statesville, NC
- County
- Iredell County · 182,638 people
- City population
- 78,393
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,819
- Household income
- $62,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,510 people
- By 2030
- 206,171 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 227,781 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 245,102 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 280,896 · +44.4%
- By 2100
- 294,375 · +51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iredell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.76%
- Current HPI
- 243.0445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+195.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-19 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-15 Listed $49,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $530 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…