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859 Park Ave Multi-family
B- Composite 67.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$107,000

859 Park Ave · Meadville, PA 16335
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · MultiFamily · 121 Days on market
Fair condition 2,239 sqft lot $88/sqft · 6% above area Est $101k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

High traffic area! Exceptional investment opportunity with strong income potential and long-term upside. This property offers an upstairs occupied unit and the potential for either another residential unit downstairs or a business. Off street parking, reasonable taxes and a location in the heart of Meadville.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • 2,239 sq ft lot
  • 4 parking spots

Tags

UPSTAIRS OCCUPIED UNITOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $107k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
  • Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $94,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.24%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,174
List price
$107,000
Delta
5.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 Arch St 0.34mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+6%) 13mo $92,000 $71 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$18,057
Equity at exit
$15,954
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$61,370
Equity at exit
$9,251

Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16335

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$561
Tax est. 1.5%
$134 /mo · $1,605/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $936
Max offer price $107,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $629 -5% $592 +0% $555 +5% $518 +10% $481
Rent -10% $426 -5% $491 +0% $555 +5% $620 +10% $685
Rate -1.0pp $609 -0.5pp $583 base $555 +0.5pp $528 +1.0pp $499

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,639

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,750
Closing costs
$3,210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
637 Pine St Meadville, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 723 $1,335 $1.85 44d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $107,000 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $107,000 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,000 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,000 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,000 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $107,000 Active 101 DOM
  16. 2026-02-17
    listed $112,000 Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    High traffic area! Exceptional investment opportunity with strong income potential and long-term upside. This property offers an upstairs occupied unit and the potential for either another residential unit downstairs or a business. Off street parking, reasonable taxes and a location in the heart of Meadville.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,668
− Mortgage interest
−$5,994
− Property taxes
−$1,605
− Insurance
−$535
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,573
− Management
−$1,573
− Depreciation
−$3,113
Taxable income
$5,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,266
After-tax cash flow
$5,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant exterior and interior repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The extensive work needed includes replacing siding, roof, flooring, and updating the interior and exterior spaces.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Exposed insulation and general wear
  • Major Roof — Aged appearance
  • Major Flooring — Worn carpet and outdated tile
  • Major Interior walls/paint — Worn paint and outdated color scheme
  • Major Bathrooms — Basic fixtures
  • Major Kitchen — Basic appliances and outdated cabinetry
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — Basic units
  • Major Landscaping — Snow-covered, unkempt appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Exterior siding and roof — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both Flooring and interior walls/paint — Enhances interior aesthetics and value
  • Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Modernizes spaces and increases appeal
  • Both HVAC and landscaping — Improves comfort and overall property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Exposed insulation and general wear Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · Aged appearance Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Worn carpet and outdated tile Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · Worn paint and outdated color scheme Major $15,000–50,000
Bathrooms · Basic fixtures Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen · Basic appliances and outdated cabinetry Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · Basic units Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Snow-covered, unkempt appearance Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Exterior siding and roof — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both Flooring and interior walls/paint — Enhances interior aesthetics and value
  • Both Bathrooms and kitchen — Modernizes spaces and increases appeal
  • Both HVAC and landscaping — Improves comfort and overall property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crawford Central SD
NCES district ID
4207080
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,837
Composite
33.21/100
National rank
#5530
State rank
#367 of 539 in PA

Livability — Meadville

Score
85/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#502

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meadville, PA
County
Crawford County · 27,175 people
City population
27,175
Metro
Meadville, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,175
Household income
$57,591
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.80%
Current HPI
272.4095
Rent YoY
Metro
Meadville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $112,000 GEBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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