79 Hewitt St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom colonial/ atached garage in quiet neighborhood. Freshly painted, new countertops & flooring in kitchen, all carpets professionally cleaned.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to restaurants
- Private back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $950; list at $165k implies a 17268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.23%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Saint Johns Park | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-3%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 89 Alpine Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (-6%) | 0mo | $155,500 | $137 | 72 |
| 20 Afton St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (+5%) | 7mo | $53,000 | $42 | 71 |
| 122 Clearview Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,257 (+5%) | 2mo | $151,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 43 Britton Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 3mo | $177,500 | $148 | 64 |
| 158 Stutson St | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,169 (-3%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 259 Windsor Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,124 (-6%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $218 | 59 |
| 28 Penrose St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,308 (+9%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 497 Hampton Blvd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+8%) | 7mo | $224,000 | $173 | 49 |
| 173 Eaton Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,332 (+11%) | 1mo | $302,000 | $227 | 46 |
| 126 Marwood Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,299 (+8%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $208 | 46 |
| 374 River Hts | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,334 (+11%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $210 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,438
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $30,523
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14612
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,656 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,608/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $287 | +0% $240 | +5% $193 | +10% $146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $174 | +0% $240 | +5% $305 | +10% $371 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $282 | base $240 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3677 Lake Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 125 Windsor Rd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 44 Windsor Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 534-582 Denise Rd Unit 562 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 500 Greenleaf Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 123 Spanish Trl Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 945 | $1,775 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 154 Woodhill Dr Unit 3 Greece, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 154 Woodhill Dr Greece, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,350 | $1.82 | 3d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 360 Britton Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,479 | $1.77 | 3d | 2 | 0.84mi |
| 37 Oakmount Dr Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 419 Britton Rd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 108 Glenbrook Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,850 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 304 Bakerdale Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 553 Britton Rd Unit Uppr Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4 Valley Brook Cir Greece, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1047 | $2,306 | $2.20 | 3d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 1255 Latta Rd Greece, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,570 | $2.23 | 3d | 5 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-21$165,000 Active
-
2009-04-29soldstatus $950 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Three bedroom colonial/ atached garage in quiet neighborhood. Freshly painted, new countertops & flooring in kitchen, all carpets professionally cleaned.
-
2009-04-15$950 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Three bedroom colonial/ atached garage in quiet neighborhood. Freshly painted, new countertops & flooring in kitchen, all carpets professionally cleaned.
-
2006-05-10soldstatus $850 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Three bedrm. colonial w/ att. garage in quiet neighborhood. New carpets and new paint throughout. Home is in excellent condition.
-
2006-05-01$850 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Three bedrm. colonial w/ att. garage in quiet neighborhood. New carpets and new paint throughout. Home is in excellent condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,608 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,198 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$590/yr (+$49/mo · 36.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,866
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,608
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,589
- − Management
- −$1,589
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $212
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$51
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,152
- Household income
- $82,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1063.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.89%
- Current HPI
- 254.157
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS
- 2009-04-29 Sold (MLS) $950 UNYREIS
- 2009-04-15 Listed $950 UNYREIS
- 2006-05-10 Sold (MLS) $850 UNYREIS
- 2006-05-01 Listed $850 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,608 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…