🏷️ Likely Rental
15040 Wood St · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$22,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
15040 Wood St, Harvey IL 60426 $22,500 (Seller Credits Back Taxes at Closing) 2 Bed | 1 Bath | 702 Sq Ft | Single-Family | Full Renovation This is a rare opportunity to own a home at an unbeatable entry point whether you're an investor building a rental portfolio or a buyer looking to renovate and make it your own. The seller is crediting back taxes at closing, so you walk in clean at $22,500 with no hidden tax exposure. For investors: ~$102,500 all-in after rehab, ARV $104,000, market rents at $1,400/month over 16% gross yield. For owner-occupants: full gut means you choose the finishes, layout updates, and upgrades. Build the home you want from the ground up at a fraction of typical
Key facts
- Value-add renovation
- 2,939 sq ft lot
- Built 1936
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House; 702 sq ft living area
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 2,939 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 49.3% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($156 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 49.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 153.68%
- DSCR
- 7.84
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $40,716
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14732 Loomis Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 712 (+1%) | 17mo | $155,000 | $218 | 45 |
| 15042 Robey Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 600 (-14%) | 19mo | $35,000 | $58 | 43 |
| 315 W 150th St | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 760 (+8%) | 16mo | $35,000 | $46 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.10×
- Total profit
- $63,660
- Equity at exit
- $20,270
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 24.35×
- Total profit
- $147,095
- Equity at exit
- $43,713
Cash invested: $6,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$118
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$28 /mo · $338/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $807
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,625
- Closing costs
- $675
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $22,500 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $22,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $22,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $22,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $22,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $22,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $22,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $22,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $22,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $22,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $15,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-01-13$15,000 Active
-
2024-05-08historical
-
2024-04-30price
-
2024-04-16price
-
2024-03-26price
-
2024-02-05Active
-
1997-08-12soldstatus $35,000
-
1996-12-18soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,260
- − Property taxes
- −$338
- − Insurance
- −$112
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$655
- Taxable income
- $9,914
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,379
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+50.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Listed $15,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2024-05-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-30 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2023): $3,830 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…