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122 Carolina Ave
C- Composite 51.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

122 Carolina Ave · Chester, WV 26034
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 315 Days on market
Built 1900 4,800 sqft lot Est $121k · 21% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large 3 bedroom home with large fenced FLAT yard on main street through town. Large front porch to enjoy the parades and fireworks. Home sits towards rear of lot, so it has a huge front yard completely fenced with chain link. Parking on street or in alley. Family home that has seen lots of love and memories, now ready for you to add your personal touches and start making NEW memories. Conveniently located to restaurants and shopping. Per seller new roof 5 years ago, new furnace more recently.

Key facts

  • Large front porch
  • Fenced flat yard
  • Huge front yard

Tags

FENCED FLAT YARDLARGE FRONT PORCHHUGE FRONT YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access and on-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story frame home with vinyl siding
  • Construction: Built (year per assessor); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Front and back yard; Chain link fencing in yard; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and most bedrooms; Linoleum in bathrooms and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Wall/Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Full basement; 1/2 bath located in the dining room; Laundry located in the foyer
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in foyer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-204/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $92k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $71k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#36 in WV, #5,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hancock County Schools (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #7 of 55 in WV (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 315 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $71,250 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 315 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.77%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,848
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
340 Indiana Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,518 (+4%) 2mo $110,000 $72 73
147 Indiana Ave. Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,319 (-9%) 10mo $135,000 $102 69
420 Vine St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-1%) 3mo $119,000 $83 62
521 Georgia Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,420 (-2%) 8mo $115,000 $81 58
533 5th St 0.54mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,472 (+1%) 13mo $58,710 $40 57
562 California Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,376 (-6%) 9mo $133,000 $97 53
214 Indiana Ave 0.19mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,340 (-8%) 23mo $60,000 $45 53
532 River St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,518 (+4%) 14mo $255,000 $168 52
460 Georgia Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 22mo $140,000 $104 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$7,948
Equity at exit
$40,186
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$32,790
Equity at exit
$60,031

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26034

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$712 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $505/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$150
Net cashflow
$-17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $734
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $37 -5% $10 +0% $-17 +5% $-44 +10% $-71
Rent -10% $-73 -5% $-45 +0% $-17 +5% $11 +10% $39
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $7 base $-17 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
707 Saint Clair Ave Unit 06 East Liverpool, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $725 $0.81 45d 1 0.99mi
707 Saint Clair Ave Unit 03 East Liverpool, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 45d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 315 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 314 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 312 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 311 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 310 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 309 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 308 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 306 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 305 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 302 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 301 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 300 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 299 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 296 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 295 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 294 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 293 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 292 DOM
  19. 2026-03-16
    price $95,000
  20. 2026-02-02
    price $109,000
  21. 2025-10-24
    price $119,000
  22. 2025-08-08
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$505 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$560 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 11.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,550
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$505
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$684
− Management
−$684
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$1,883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$452
After-tax cash flow
$248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock County Schools
NCES district ID
5400450
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,803
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5445
State rank
#7 of 55 in WV

Livability — Chester

Score
73/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#5000

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chester, WV
Population (ZIP)
4,555

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,704 people
By 2030
27,913 · -2.8%
By 2040
26,078 · -9.1%
By 2050
24,521 · -14.6%
By 2075
21,630 · -24.6%
By 2100
17,867 · -37.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Pacific Islander 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.8% · R 72.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.52%
Current HPI
146.1433
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-23.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $95,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $109,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $119,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $124,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+21.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $505 · +180.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…