86 Old Country Rd · East Quogue, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$639,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
Key facts
- Lush garden
- Modern enhancements
- Historical bungalow
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $639k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($71k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $639k).
- Recommended offer: $562k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 10.6% in East Quogue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#943 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- East Quogue Union Free School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #342 of 755 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $179k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($562k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $111k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $525k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.69%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $781,185
- List price
- $639,000
- Delta
- -18.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Old Country Rd | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 8mo | $716,000 | $775 | 76 |
| 9 Vail Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 1mo | $715,000 | $621 | 73 |
| 9 Mitchell Pl | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 13mo | $705,000 | $705 | 60 |
| 4 E End Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 976 (-5%) | 11mo | $660,000 | $676 | 57 |
| 83 Lewis Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 880 (-14%) | 20mo | $552,000 | $627 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $273,221
- Equity at exit
- $95,277
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $722,731
- Equity at exit
- $55,249
Cash invested: $178,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11942
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,447 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,351
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,582/yr
- Insurance
- −$266
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,614
- Net cashflow
- $5,917
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $159,750
- Closing costs
- $19,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Vail Ave East Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $38,500 | $30.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4 E End Ave East Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $4,500 | $4.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6 W End Ave East Quogue, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $10,000 | $9.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 22 W End Ave East Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $16,000 | $11.70 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $639,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $639,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $639,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $639,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $639,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $639,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $639,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $639,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $639,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $639,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $639,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $639,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $639,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $639,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $639,000 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
-
2026-03-16price $649,000 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
-
2026-03-10price $679,000 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
-
2026-01-22status Active 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
-
2025-03-25price $699,000 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
-
2025-03-03$750,000 Active 826-char remark
Show marketing remark (826 chars)
Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!
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2023-08-10soldstatus $525,000
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2023-04-21soldstatus $525,000 Closed 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.
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2023-02-24status Pending 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.
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2023-01-20$525,000 Active 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.
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2009-12-22soldstatus $210,000
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2008-07-08soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,582 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,191 · $599/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,608/yr (+$301/mo · 100.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $149,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,794
- − Property taxes
- −$3,582
- − Insurance
- −$3,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,949
- − Management
- −$11,949
- − Depreciation
- −$18,589
- Taxable income
- $64,307
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $55,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Quogue Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609900
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,457
- Composite
- 49.79/100
- National rank
- #4207
- State rank
- #342 of 755 in NY
Livability — East Quogue
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #943
- US rank
- #18348
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Quogue, NY
- City population
- 5,871
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,871
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.33%
- Current HPI
- 435.8017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+219.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $639,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $679,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-25 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-03 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $525,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-20 Listed $525,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2021): $3,582 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…