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86 Old Country Rd
B+ Composite 78.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$639,000

86 Old Country Rd · East Quogue, NY 11942
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 276 Days on market
Built 1910 9,583 sqft lot $623/sqft · 18% below area Est $781k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

Key facts

  • Lush garden
  • Modern enhancements
  • Historical bungalow

Tags

HISTORICAL BUNGALOWMODERN ENHANCEMENTSOUTDOOR LIVINGLUSH GARDEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $639k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($71k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $639k).
  • Recommended offer: $562k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 10.6% in East Quogue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#943 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • East Quogue Union Free School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #342 of 755 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $179k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($562k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $111k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $525k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $562,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.41%
Cash-on-cash
39.69%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$781,185
List price
$639,000
Delta
-18.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
88 Old Country Rd 0.01mi 3/1.0 924 (-10%) 8mo $716,000 $775 76
9 Vail Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+12%) 1mo $715,000 $621 73
9 Mitchell Pl 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 13mo $705,000 $705 60
4 E End Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 976 (-5%) 11mo $660,000 $676 57
83 Lewis Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 880 (-14%) 20mo $552,000 $627 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$273,221
Equity at exit
$95,277
10-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$722,731
Equity at exit
$55,249

Cash invested: $178,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11942

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,351
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,582/yr
Insurance
$266
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,614
Net cashflow
$5,917

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,957
Max offer price $639,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$159,750
Closing costs
$19,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30 Vail Ave East Quogue, NY 3.0 2.0 1260 $38,500 $30.56 24d 1 0.28mi
4 E End Ave East Quogue, NY 3.0 1.0 976 $4,500 $4.61 43d 1 0.56mi
6 W End Ave East Quogue, NY 2.0 1.0 1011 $10,000 $9.89 43d 1 0.78mi
22 W End Ave East Quogue, NY 3.0 2.0 1368 $16,000 $11.70 5d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $639,000 Active 276 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $639,000 Active 275 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $639,000 Active 274 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $639,000 Active 273 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $639,000 Active 271 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $639,000 Active 270 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $639,000 Active 267 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $639,000 Active 266 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $639,000 Active 265 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $639,000 Active 262 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $639,000 Active 261 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $639,000 Active 260 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $639,000 Active 259 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $639,000 Active 258 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $639,000 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  16. 2026-03-16
    price $649,000 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  17. 2026-03-10
    price $679,000 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  18. 2026-01-22
    status Active 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  19. 2025-03-25
    price $699,000 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  20. 2025-03-03
    listed $750,000 Active 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Discover this beautifully renovated historical bungalow, conveniently located near the heart of East Quogue. Whether you're looking for a wise investment, a charming primary residence, or a delightful summer getaway, this home fits the bill perfectly. Inside, you'll find a tastefully updated space featuring two inviting bedrooms and a well-appointed bathroom. With 1,026 square feet, the design focuses on maximizing comfort and functionality. Appreciate the timeless character of its 1910 origins, complemented by modern enhancements. The 9,586-square-foot lot offers abundant opportunities for outdoor living, whether you're dreaming of a lush garden, hosting gatherings, or basking in the sunshine. The property includes a garage and plenty of parking. Embrace the endless possibilities this enchanting home has to offer!

  21. 2023-08-10
    soldstatus $525,000
  22. 2023-04-21
    soldstatus $525,000 Closed 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.

  23. 2023-02-24
    status Pending 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.

  24. 2023-01-20
    listed $525,000 Active 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Updated in 2010: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with detached 1 car garage. Home complete with living room, eat it kitchen, den, mud room and laundry area. Two blocks to East Quogue Elementary School and close East Quogue Park. East Quogue/Westhampton Beach schools. Enjoy Hampton's beaches, restaurants and shopping.

  25. 2009-12-22
    soldstatus $210,000
  26. 2008-07-08
    soldstatus $200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,582 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,191 · $599/mo
Expected delta
+$3,608/yr (+$301/mo · 100.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$149,365
− Mortgage interest
−$35,794
− Property taxes
−$3,582
− Insurance
−$3,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,949
− Management
−$11,949
− Depreciation
−$18,589
Taxable income
$64,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,434
After-tax cash flow
$55,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Quogue Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3609900
Math proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$81,457
Composite
49.79/100
National rank
#4207
State rank
#342 of 755 in NY

Livability — East Quogue

Score
61/100
State rank
#943
US rank
#18348

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Quogue, NY
City population
5,871
Population (ZIP)
5,871

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.33%
Current HPI
435.8017
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+219.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $639,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $679,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-25 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-03 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $525,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-24 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-20 Listed $525,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.7%/yr

Latest (2021): $3,582 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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