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3231 W Hobson Ave
C- Composite 53.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

3231 W Hobson Ave · Mount Morris, MI 48504
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2001 0.41 ac lot $74/sqft · 46% above area Est $55k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey Opportunity! This beautifully updated and move-in ready Flint home offers an outstanding opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Renovations are nearly complete, providing a fully refreshed property with modern finishes and a functional layout designed for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this home is ideal as a starter home, long-term rental, or a strong addition to any investment portfolio. Located in a high-demand area with convenient access to major roads, shopping, schools, and everyday amenities, the property combines excellent location, strong rental potential, and long-term value. Final renovation touches are being completed, making this a compelling turnkey opportunity in one of Flint’s established residential neighborhoods. Novation: Buyer has equitable interest in the property and is marketing the property with the owner’s authorization in order to locate a new buyer.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Fully refreshed
  • Modern finishes

Tags

MOVE-IN READYFULLY REFRESHEDMODERN FINISHESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.5% in Mount Morris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#357 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Westwood Heights Schools (suburban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #704 of 760 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.85%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,889
List price
$80,000
Delta
45.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3228 W Gracelawn Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 12mo $65,000 $59 81
3289 W Hobson Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,170 (+8%) 4mo $26,600 $23 68
3179 W Hobson Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 968 (-10%) 12mo $22,400 $23 65
3218 W Sherman Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+11%) 12mo $16,000 $13 64
6310 Valorie Ln 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-4%) 4mo $49,900 $48 58
5905 Cloverlawn Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 983 (-9%) 2mo $30,000 $31 51
3512 W Sherman Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-7%) 10mo $40,000 $40 45
3089 W Mott Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-15%) 14mo $32,000 $35 41
3484 Sherman Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-7%) 20mo $74,900 $75 39
1807 W Hobson Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 935 (-13%) 15mo $56,000 $60 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,138
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$19,190
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$980 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $276 -5% $249 +0% $221 +5% $194 +10% $166
Rent -10% $144 -5% $182 +0% $221 +5% $260 +10% $299
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $242 base $221 +0.5pp $200 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 14d 1 0.77mi
124 Cherry Hl Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 22d 1 1.04mi
98 Elm Tree Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 44d 1 1.06mi
5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1150 $1,148 $1.00 14d 6 1.32mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 14d 1 1.34mi
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1038 $900 $0.87 22d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $80,000 Active 969-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    Turnkey Opportunity! This beautifully updated and move-in ready Flint home offers an outstanding opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Renovations are nearly complete, providing a fully refreshed property with modern finishes and a functional layout designed for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this home is ideal as a starter home, long-term rental, or a strong addition to any investment portfolio. Located in a high-demand area with convenient access to major roads, shopping, schools, and everyday amenities, the property combines excellent location, strong rental potential, and long-term value. Final renovation touches are being completed, making this a compelling turnkey opportunity in one of Flint's established residential neighborhoods. Novation: Buyer has equitable interest in the property and is marketing the property with the owner's authorization in order to locate a new buyer.

  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $80,000 Active 957-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    Turnkey Opportunity! This beautifully updated and move-in ready Flint home offers an outstanding opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Renovations are nearly complete, providing a fully refreshed property with modern finishes and a functional layout designed for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this home is ideal as a starter home, long-term rental, or a strong addition to any investment portfolio. Located in a high-demand area with convenient access to major roads, shopping, schools, and everyday amenities, the property combines excellent location, strong rental potential, and long-term value. Final renovation touches are being completed, making this a compelling turnkey opportunity in one of Flint's established residential neighborhoods. Novation: Buyer has equitable interest in the property and is marketing the property with the owner's authorization in order to locate a new buyer.

  18. 2023-05-09
    soldstatus $79,000 Sold
  19. 2023-05-09
    soldstatus $79,000 Closed
  20. 2023-03-21
    status Pending
  21. 2023-03-21
    status Pending
  22. 2023-02-25
    listed $79,900 Active
  23. 2023-02-24
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,757
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$941
− Management
−$941
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$352
After-tax cash flow
$2,302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood Heights Schools
NCES district ID
2635970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$33,020
Composite
12.82/100
National rank
#14544
State rank
#704 of 760 in MI

Livability — Mount Morris

Score
68/100
State rank
#357
US rank
#9095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
19,519
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Sold (MLS) $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Sold (MLS) $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-25 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-24 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+16.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,175 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…