1014 3rd St · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Newer water heater
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 116 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $90k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.96%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,654
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 34.88%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 Morning Glory Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,295 (+3%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $178 | 71 |
| 1609 Morning Glory Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,295 (+3%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 132 Avenue Y | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,254 (0%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 1704 Poinsettia Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,229 (-2%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $179 | 68 |
| 924 6th Way | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-5%) | 14mo | $72,000 | $60 | 54 |
| 800 7th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-0%) | 16mo | $76,000 | $61 | 54 |
| 1425 Hibernian St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $33 | 54 |
| 1400 Hibernian St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-2%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 1005 6th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (-11%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $134 | 53 |
| 1213 Lafayette St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+7%) | 11mo | $83,000 | $62 | 49 |
| 408 Miles Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (+10%) | 13mo | $62,500 | $45 | 48 |
| 944 Lafayette St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $65 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $8,031
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $28,878
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35214
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,226 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $740/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $423 | +0% $398 | +5% $372 | +10% $347 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $349 | +0% $398 | +5% $446 | +10% $495 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $421 | base $398 | +0.5pp $375 | +1.0pp $351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 Avenue U Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1208 2nd St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,050 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 213 Beech Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,000 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 604 5th Way Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,000 | $0.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 408 Miles Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,050 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1425 Hibernian St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 609 Cherry Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 225 Bayberry Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $1,261 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 204 5th Way Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 528 Lamplighter Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,220 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1739 Huntington Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1174 16th Avenue Thomas Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 436 Henry St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,090 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 629 Lanett Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1402 Avenue E Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1519 | $1,273 | $0.84 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2523 16th street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,300 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1306 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $950 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1306 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $950 | $0.97 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 120 Dewberry Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,510 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $89,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Contingent 202 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Contingent 201 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Contingent 200 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical Contingent 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-04-14status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-03-12status Pending 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-02-11status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2026-01-29historical Active-Break Clause 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2025-12-13price $89,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2025-10-10$100,000 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Add 1014 3rd St Pratt to your rental portfolio. Tenant-occupied with a reliable Section 8 tenant paying $1400/month. This home features new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, a newer water heater (2021), and HVAC (2019). Low-maintenance and income-producing—don’t miss this great opportunity!
-
2025-07-04price $100,000
-
2024-09-16soldstatus $50,000
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2024-09-12soldstatus $50,000 Sold
-
2024-08-14status Pending
-
2024-08-05status Active
-
2024-08-01historical
-
2024-06-28price $50,000
-
2024-05-02status Active
-
2024-04-18historical Contingent
-
2024-04-03status Active
-
2024-02-22historical Contingent
-
2024-02-15$70,000 Active
-
2021-12-24price $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $740 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $740 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$740
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,177
- − Management
- −$1,177
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,516
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,027
- Household income
- $56,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 578.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 18% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.48%
- Current HPI
- 218.5233
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+71.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-12 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-11 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-29 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-13 Price Changed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-04 Price Changed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-12 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-08-14 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-08-05 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-08-01 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-05-02 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-04-18 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-04-03 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-02-22 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-02-15 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-12-24 Price Changed $52,500 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $740 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…