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4521/4523 22nd St SW Duplex
D+ Composite 49.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +0.8/5.0

$375,000

4521/4523 22nd St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33973
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,250 sqft · MultiFamily · 335 Days on market
Built 2002 0.29 ac lot Est $518k · 28% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

FABULOUS NEW PRICE! Concessions available for closing costs or for mortgage rate buydown! Great location just a blocks away from SR 82 and Gunnery Road. Very nice condition. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and 1-car garage. Recent updates: paint exterior 4/24, pump out septic system 7/23, new roof 3/19. 4521 = 4/25 new well pump, 5/24 new AC, 4/23 sulfur extractor well system, 2/22 new microwave, 6/22 new paint interior, new microwave, 2/20 new tile around tub, 11/19 new water heater. 4523 = 7/25 new interior paint & professionally cleaned, 7/25 new microwave, 7/25 replaced garage door, 5/25 new refrigerator, 10/23 water softener for water system, 7/22 new dishwasher, 8/22 new AC, 3/21 new

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • New well pump
  • Great location

Tags

GREAT LOCATIONRECENT UPDATESNEW ROOFNEW WELL PUMPNEW ACNEW MICROWAVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $55,200; Operating expenses: $8,900; Tenant pays: application fee, cable TV, departure cleaning, electricity, internet, janitorial service, security; Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Each unit has an attached 1-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Cable available; Septic tank sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Multi-family property: 1 building with 2 units; Resale property; Zoned RM-2
  • Construction: Block, concrete, and stucco construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes dishwasher, microwave, range, and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit is three bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 2 full bathrooms (4 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling (air conditioning)
  • Interior features: Single-hung windows; Tile flooring; Smoke detectors; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage for each unit; Washer/dryer hookups; Owned water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $48/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.0%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,401/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1142% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $330,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$517,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4525/4527 21st St SW 0.06mi 6/4.0 2,306 (+2%) 6mo $435,000 $189 88
1541/1543 Hightower Ave S 0.28mi 6/4.0 2,400 (+7%) 2mo $345,000 $144 75
4521/4523 19th St SW 0.18mi 6/4.0 2,254 (+0%) 23mo $465,000 $206 72
22nd SW Unit 4417/4419 0.13mi 6/4.0 2,396 (+6%) 17mo $550,000 $230 69
4635/4633 27th St SW 0.52mi 6/4.0 2,226 (-1%) 8mo $392,000 $176 68
1121-1123 Harry Ave S 0.58mi 6/4.0 2,364 (+5%) 10mo $549,900 $233 56
1116 Harold Ave S 0.60mi 6/4.0 2,360 (+5%) 9mo $550,000 $233 56
4417/4419 28th St SW 0.43mi 6/4.0 2,350 (+4%) 20mo $535,000 $228 56
4617-4619 30th St SW 0.59mi 6/4.0 2,392 (+6%) 9mo $550,000 $230 54
1501-1503 Hightower Ave S 0.40mi 6/4.0 2,392 (+6%) 23mo $549,900 $230 52
1141-1143 Ichabod Ave S 0.50mi 6/4.0 2,390 (+6%) 22mo $562,000 $235 48
1115-1117 Circle Dr 0.64mi 6/4.0 2,200 (-2%) 23mo $537,000 $244 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-64,615
Equity at exit
$55,914
10-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-86,764
Equity at exit
$32,423

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33973

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Rents YoY
-7.0%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
18.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax est. 1.5%
$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$714
Net cashflow
$95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,280
Max offer price $375,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $225 +0% $95 +5% $-34 +10% $-164
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-39 +0% $95 +5% $230 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $284 -0.5pp $191 base $95 +0.5pp $-2 +1.0pp $-101

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1133 Ichabod Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 6.0 4.0 2376 $2,100 $0.88 25d 1 0.52mi
10849 Timber Creek Dr Fort Myers, FL 5.0 4.5 3357 $4,000 $1.19 25d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $375,000 Active 335 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 331 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $375,000 Active 330 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $375,000 Active 329 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,900 Active 327 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $389,900 Active 323 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $389,900 Active 321 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $389,900 Active 316 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,900 Active 315 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,900 Active 314 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    price $389,900
  12. 2026-04-03
    price $398,000
  13. 2026-01-01
    price $415,000
  14. 2025-10-13
    price $419,500
  15. 2025-09-22
    status Active
  16. 2025-09-22
    status Pending
  17. 2025-09-08
    price $424,900
  18. 2025-08-23
    price $434,900
  19. 2025-07-20
    listed $439,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,812
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$5,625
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,265
− Management
−$3,265
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$5,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,232
After-tax cash flow
$2,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,392
Household income
$60,530
Rent vs Own
77.1% rent · 22.9% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% Black 36% Two or more races 21% White 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 14% Russian 1% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.43%
Current HPI
237.694
Rent YoY
▼ -6.99%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $389,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $398,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $415,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $419,500 FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $424,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $434,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-20 Listed $439,500 FORTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…