252 County Road 302 · Floresville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*****SELLER OFFERING 5,000 in SELLER CONCESSIONS*****Discover your own little piece of heaven - where peaceful country living meets easy access to the city! Set on 5 beautiful acres, this property offers the space, privacy, and freedom you've been dreaming of, while still keeping you conveniently close to town. This well-maintained double-wide home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, including a Jack-and-Jill bath thoughtfully designed for convenience. With two separate living areas, there's room for everyone - one highlighted by a gorgeous rock fireplace that creates the perfect cozy gathering spot. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, offering upgraded granite countertops and abundant storage. Whether you love cooking, hosting family dinners, or meal prepping for the week, this kitchen delivers both function and style. Outside, the possibilities are endless. Spread out, bring your animals, build a shop, garden, or simply relax and enjoy quiet evenings under big Texas skies. With 5 acres, there's room to grow, play, and create the country lifestyle you've always wanted - without giving up quick access to shopping, dining, and major conveniences. And for added flexibility, the property includes a dedicated RV spot complete with electric, water, and sewer hookup - perfect for guests or extended family. If you've been searching for space, serenity, and a home that truly feels like a retreat... this one has it all. Come see why life is better in the country - and make this slice of paradise your own.
Key facts
- Dedicated rv spot
- Jack-and-jill bath
- 5 beautiful acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (11.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (33.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.0% in Floresville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#681 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Floresville ISD (town): math 32% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #504 of 826 in TX (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 135 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wilson County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.67%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,940
- List price
- $319,000
- Delta
- -1.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $25,591
- Equity at exit
- $143,436
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $108,661
- Equity at exit
- $221,052
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78114-3595
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,117 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $781/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Autumn Trl Floresville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2162 | $2,223 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 132 Avena Grv Floresville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 120 Whitewing Way Floresville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2314 | $2,095 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $319,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,000 Price Change 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,000 Price Change 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Price Change 156 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $319,000 Price Change 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Price Change 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricestatusdays on market $319,000 Price Change 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $333,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $333,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $345,000 1548-char remark
Show marketing remark (1548 chars)
*****SELLER OFFERING 5,000 in SELLER CONCESSIONS*****Discover your own little piece of heaven - where peaceful country living meets easy access to the city! Set on 5 beautiful acres, this property offers the space, privacy, and freedom you've been dreaming of, while still keeping you conveniently close to town. This well-maintained double-wide home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, including a Jack-and-Jill bath thoughtfully designed for convenience. With two separate living areas, there's room for everyone - one highlighted by a gorgeous rock fireplace that creates the perfect cozy gathering spot. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, offering upgraded granite countertops and abundant storage. Whether you love cooking, hosting family dinners, or meal prepping for the week, this kitchen delivers both function and style. Outside, the possibilities are endless. Spread out, bring your animals, build a shop, garden, or simply relax and enjoy quiet evenings under big Texas skies. With 5 acres, there's room to grow, play, and create the country lifestyle you've always wanted - without giving up quick access to shopping, dining, and major conveniences. And for added flexibility, the property includes a dedicated RV spot complete with electric, water, and sewer hookup - perfect for guests or extended family. If you've been searching for space, serenity, and a home that truly feels like a retreat... this one has it all. Come see why life is better in the country - and make this slice of paradise your own.
-
2026-03-23price $355,000 1548-char remark
Show marketing remark (1548 chars)
*****SELLER OFFERING 5,000 in SELLER CONCESSIONS*****Discover your own little piece of heaven - where peaceful country living meets easy access to the city! Set on 5 beautiful acres, this property offers the space, privacy, and freedom you've been dreaming of, while still keeping you conveniently close to town. This well-maintained double-wide home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, including a Jack-and-Jill bath thoughtfully designed for convenience. With two separate living areas, there's room for everyone - one highlighted by a gorgeous rock fireplace that creates the perfect cozy gathering spot. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, offering upgraded granite countertops and abundant storage. Whether you love cooking, hosting family dinners, or meal prepping for the week, this kitchen delivers both function and style. Outside, the possibilities are endless. Spread out, bring your animals, build a shop, garden, or simply relax and enjoy quiet evenings under big Texas skies. With 5 acres, there's room to grow, play, and create the country lifestyle you've always wanted - without giving up quick access to shopping, dining, and major conveniences. And for added flexibility, the property includes a dedicated RV spot complete with electric, water, and sewer hookup - perfect for guests or extended family. If you've been searching for space, serenity, and a home that truly feels like a retreat... this one has it all. Come see why life is better in the country - and make this slice of paradise your own.
-
2026-03-12price $365,000 1548-char remark
Show marketing remark (1548 chars)
*****SELLER OFFERING 5,000 in SELLER CONCESSIONS*****Discover your own little piece of heaven - where peaceful country living meets easy access to the city! Set on 5 beautiful acres, this property offers the space, privacy, and freedom you've been dreaming of, while still keeping you conveniently close to town. This well-maintained double-wide home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, including a Jack-and-Jill bath thoughtfully designed for convenience. With two separate living areas, there's room for everyone - one highlighted by a gorgeous rock fireplace that creates the perfect cozy gathering spot. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, offering upgraded granite countertops and abundant storage. Whether you love cooking, hosting family dinners, or meal prepping for the week, this kitchen delivers both function and style. Outside, the possibilities are endless. Spread out, bring your animals, build a shop, garden, or simply relax and enjoy quiet evenings under big Texas skies. With 5 acres, there's room to grow, play, and create the country lifestyle you've always wanted - without giving up quick access to shopping, dining, and major conveniences. And for added flexibility, the property includes a dedicated RV spot complete with electric, water, and sewer hookup - perfect for guests or extended family. If you've been searching for space, serenity, and a home that truly feels like a retreat... this one has it all. Come see why life is better in the country - and make this slice of paradise your own.
-
2026-01-02$370,000 New 1548-char remark
Show marketing remark (1548 chars)
*****SELLER OFFERING 5,000 in SELLER CONCESSIONS*****Discover your own little piece of heaven - where peaceful country living meets easy access to the city! Set on 5 beautiful acres, this property offers the space, privacy, and freedom you've been dreaming of, while still keeping you conveniently close to town. This well-maintained double-wide home features 4 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, including a Jack-and-Jill bath thoughtfully designed for convenience. With two separate living areas, there's room for everyone - one highlighted by a gorgeous rock fireplace that creates the perfect cozy gathering spot. The kitchen is truly the heart of the home, offering upgraded granite countertops and abundant storage. Whether you love cooking, hosting family dinners, or meal prepping for the week, this kitchen delivers both function and style. Outside, the possibilities are endless. Spread out, bring your animals, build a shop, garden, or simply relax and enjoy quiet evenings under big Texas skies. With 5 acres, there's room to grow, play, and create the country lifestyle you've always wanted - without giving up quick access to shopping, dining, and major conveniences. And for added flexibility, the property includes a dedicated RV spot complete with electric, water, and sewer hookup - perfect for guests or extended family. If you've been searching for space, serenity, and a home that truly feels like a retreat... this one has it all. Come see why life is better in the country - and make this slice of paradise your own.
-
2020-08-23historical
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2020-07-21price $284,500
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2020-07-03price $284,900
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2020-06-19$285,000 New
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2014-03-13soldstatus Sold
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2013-07-25$55,000 New
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2001-11-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,838 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,056/yr (+$421/mo · 647.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$781
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,032
- − Management
- −$2,032
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$8,191
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,966
- After-tax cash flow
- $-420/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Floresville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819350
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,736
- Composite
- 30.44/100
- National rank
- #6234
- State rank
- #504 of 826 in TX
Livability — Floresville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #681
- US rank
- #12747
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+527.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $345,000 LERA
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $355,000 LERA
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $365,000 LERA
- 2026-01-02 Listed $370,000 LERA
- 2020-08-23 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2020-07-21 Price Changed $284,500 LERA
- 2020-07-03 Price Changed $284,900 LERA
- 2020-06-19 Listed $285,000 LERA
- 2014-03-13 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2013-07-25 Listed $55,000 LERA
- 2001-11-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $781 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…