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2600 South Ave
B Composite 74.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2600 South Ave · Syracuse, NY 13215
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1929 5,227 sqft lot Est $164k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD home. Selling 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all information including zoning and C of O ordinance. Streamline K eligible FHA financing. Case #371-349655

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Rectangular lot; See remarks for additional exterior details

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedroom counts within total rooms)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $125k implies a 381% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.63%
Cash-on-cash
15.48%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,288
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Cornell Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 3mo $151,500 $150 80
407 Mitchell Ave Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 9mo $205,000 $203 59
500 Glenwood Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (+0%) 10mo $165,000 $151 53
106 Fairfield Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 998 (-8%) 11mo $150,000 $150 50
608 Barnes Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+0%) 22mo $177,000 $162 49
815 Valley Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+5%) 17mo $82,000 $72 39
4814 Mcdonald Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,204 (+11%) 6mo $280,000 $233 38
154 St. Louis Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (-14%) 8mo $165,000 $176 37
110 Shirley Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,001 (-8%) 19mo $140,000 $140 32
603 Atlantic Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,154 (+6%) 23mo $135,000 $117 32
125 Saint Louis Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (-14%) 12mo $165,000 $176 29
421 Glenwood Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+15%) 23mo $125,100 $100 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,456
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$65,777
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13215

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,545 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,044
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $467 -5% $431 +0% $396 +5% $361 +10% $325
Rent -10% $274 -5% $335 +0% $396 +5% $457 +10% $518
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $428 base $396 +0.5pp $363 +1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 14d 1 0.42mi
300 Mains Ave Unit Bradford-7 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 14d 1 0.68mi
508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 735 $1,350 $1.84 14d 13 1.09mi
140 Westbrook Hills Dr Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 942 $1,665 $1.77 14d 21 1.28mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,262 $1.49 14d 5 1.37mi
5111 Ball Rd Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1138 $1,820 $1.60 14d 16 1.44mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $125,000 Active
  17. 2010-06-15
    historical 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    HUD home. Selling 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all information including zoning and C of O ordinance. Streamline K eligible FHA financing. Case #371-349655

  18. 2010-06-14
    soldstatus $26,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    HUD home. Selling 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all information including zoning and C of O ordinance. Streamline K eligible FHA financing. Case #371-349655

  19. 2010-06-10
    soldstatus $26,000
  20. 2010-02-26
    listed $40,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    HUD home. Selling 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all information including zoning and C of O ordinance. Streamline K eligible FHA financing. Case #371-349655

  21. 2005-07-07
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$738 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,425 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$687/yr (+$57/mo · 93.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,539
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,483
− Management
−$1,483
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$697
After-tax cash flow
$4,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,751
Household income
$113,864
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
254.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.54%
Current HPI
294.8783
Rent YoY
▲ 6.42%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $125,000 CNYIS
  • 2010-06-15 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2010-06-14 Sold (MLS) $26,000 UNYREIS
  • 2010-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2010-02-26 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
  • 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…