832 Irma Rd · Salem, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.8/10.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.6 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Exterior features: 0.6-acre lot; Directions: From Main Street in Salem, turn on KY-723 South. Continue for 2-3 miles and the property is on the left.
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($945 rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#396 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Livingston County (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #80 of 165 in KY (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Livingston Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 130 students, 64% FRL); Livingston County Middle School (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 252 students, 60% FRL); Livingston Central High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 329 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.20%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $354
- Equity at exit
- $12,823
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $18,624
- Equity at exit
- $7,436
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42078
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $945 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $416/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $86,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $86,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $86,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $86,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $86,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $86,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$86,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $416 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $740 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$324/yr (+$27/mo · 78.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$416
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$907
- − Management
- −$907
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable income
- $1,358
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$326
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston County
- NCES district ID
- 2103510
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,875
- Composite
- 27.87/100
- National rank
- #6873
- State rank
- #80 of 165 in KY
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #396
- US rank
- #18979
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,718
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,790 people
- By 2030
- 8,413 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 7,709 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 7,090 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 6,046 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 5,202 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -63.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.0 2020: R+61.4 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.33%
- Current HPI
- 164.5421
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $86,000 WKRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $416 · +25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…