4578 Noah Martin Rd · Lula, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Opportunity on a Spacious .73 Acre Lot! Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home set on a permanent foundation. Situated on a level 0.73-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the open space. This home is truly a diamond in the rough-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. With a little TLC, this property could shine! Out back, you'll find a detached shop area, ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workspace. The flat terrain makes access easy and adds to the usability of the land. Whether you're looking for a project, a rental opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss your chance to unlock its potential!
Key facts
- Level lot
- Spacious lot
- Detached shop area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and parking pad; 2 total parking spaces; Open parking available
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric service with 110V and 220V available; Water and electricity available to the property
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One level; Resale condition; Metal roof; Block foundation
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Outbuilding on the property; Gravel road frontage on a county road
Interior
- Kitchen: Cabinets (other)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Crawl space foundation
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area with 220V outlet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.3% in Lula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#130 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Hall County (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #81 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Hall Middle School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #377 of 470 statewide, top 81%, 909 students, 78% FRL); East Hall High School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #210 of 424 statewide, top 50%, 1,330 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 53% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2,274 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (620 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hall County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $98k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.17%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $298,706
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -59.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4578 Noah Martin Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (0%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $78 | 99 |
| 4539 Old Cornelia Hwy | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+3%) | 20mo | $232,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 4067 Country Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+6%) | 20mo | $295,000 | $221 | 29 |
| 4072 Country Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,109 (-11%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $271 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $20,044
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $68,185
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30554
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $621
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
Charming Opportunity on a Spacious .73 Acre Lot! Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home set on a permanent foundation. Situated on a level 0.73-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the open space. This home is truly a diamond in the rough-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. With a little TLC, this property could shine! Out back, you'll find a detached shop area, ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workspace. The flat terrain makes access easy and adds to the usability of the land. Whether you're looking for a project, a rental opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss your chance to unlock its potential!
-
2026-05-11status Under Contract 787-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
Charming Opportunity on a Spacious .73 Acre Lot! Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home set on a permanent foundation. Situated on a level 0.73-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the open space. This home is truly a diamond in the rough-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. With a little TLC, this property could shine! Out back, you'll find a detached shop area, ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workspace. The flat terrain makes access easy and adds to the usability of the land. Whether you're looking for a project, a rental opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss your chance to unlock its potential!
-
2026-05-01$120,000 Active 811-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
Charming Opportunity on a Spacious .73 Acre Lot! Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home set on a permanent foundation. Situated on a level 0.73-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the open space. This home is truly a diamond in the rough-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. With a little TLC, this property could shine! Out back, you'll find a detached shop area, ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workspace. The flat terrain makes access easy and adds to the usability of the land. Whether you're looking for a project, a rental opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss your chance to unlock its potential!
-
2026-05-01$120,000 New 787-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
Charming Opportunity on a Spacious .73 Acre Lot! Discover the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single wide mobile home set on a permanent foundation. Situated on a level 0.73-acre lot, this property offers plenty of room to expand, garden, or simply enjoy the open space. This home is truly a diamond in the rough-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. With a little TLC, this property could shine! Out back, you'll find a detached shop area, ideal for storage, hobbies, or a workspace. The flat terrain makes access easy and adds to the usability of the land. Whether you're looking for a project, a rental opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss your chance to unlock its potential!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$626/yr (+$52/mo · 131.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $5,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,393
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hall County
- NCES district ID
- 1302610
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,708
- Composite
- 27.15/100
- National rank
- #7029
- State rank
- #81 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lula
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #9112
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,167
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,167
Population outlook (Hall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,275 people
- By 2030
- 240,204 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 268,440 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 293,596 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 350,293 · +55.5%
- By 2100
- 389,329 · +72.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.8% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+50.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.65%
- Current HPI
- 338.0206
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-18.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-21 Sold (MLS) $98,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-21 Sold (MLS) $98,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $120,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…