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9261 Camley St
B+ Composite 75.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

9261 Camley St · Detroit, MI 48224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 726 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1944 4,792 sqft lot $55/sqft · 38% below area Est $65k · 38% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1944

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $37,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.68%
Cap rate
21.53%
Cash-on-cash
54.43%
DSCR
3.42
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,622
List price
$39,900
Delta
-38.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6183 Woodhall St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 720 (-1%) 1mo $32,000 $44 79
9240 Camley St 0.03mi 2/1.0 729 (+0%) 23mo $110,000 $151 79
5546 Neff Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 720 (-1%) 14mo $74,900 $104 55
10878 Balfour Rd 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 784 (+8%) 6mo $70,000 $89 55
19670 Mccormick St 0.70mi 2/1.0 696 (-4%) 8mo $55,000 $79 54
5955 Guilford St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 802 (+10%) 6mo $43,000 $54 52
10827 Balfour Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 784 (+8%) 7mo $72,500 $92 51
11035 Worden St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 834 (+15%) 3mo $55,000 $66 48
19724 Mccormick St 0.66mi 2/1.0 696 (-4%) 19mo $80,000 $115 46
18921 Moon St 0.52mi 2/1.5 800 (+10%) 17mo $135,000 $169 42
11685 Beaconsfield St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 799 (+10%) 10mo $65,000 $81 38
10670 Nottingham Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 827 (+14%) 5mo $35,000 $42 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.9%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$23,481
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
5.73×
Total profit
$52,877
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $426
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 3d 1 0.63mi
16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 15d 1 0.71mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.72mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 44d 1 0.73mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 44d 1 0.80mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 44d 1 1.09mi
4865 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 630 $1,200 $1.90 44d 1 1.12mi
4837 Cadieux Rd Unit 9 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,200 $1.85 44d 1 1.14mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 11 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 22d 1 1.16mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 44d 1 1.16mi
4811 Cadieux Rd Unit 10 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 663 $1,200 $1.81 44d 1 1.16mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 24d 1 1.23mi
5284 Devonshire Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 15d 1 1.23mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $39,900 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $44,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-03
    price $50,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-05-03
    price $50,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-04-15
    price $55,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-04-15
    price $55,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $60,000 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-04-08
    listed $60,000 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    Investors Unlock the Potential in this eastside one story brick ranch! Featuring two bedrooms and a full basement, with some TLC this investment will bring you the return you are looking for! Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,812
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,330
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,025
− Management
−$1,025
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,401
After-tax cash flow
$4,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,330 · -20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…