1247 Orangewood St #20 · Enumclaw, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$25K BUYER BONUS WITH FULL PRICE OFFER! Welcome to Crystal Mt MHC, a 55+ land lease community! Pass through the gates & fall in love w/ the Cottage a perfect blend of affordability & function! Open concept layout, 2BR + open flex space perfect for office & dining area. Enjoy a touch of country charm w/ board & batten siding & a recessed covered entry. Kitchen features SS appliances, SS front apron sink, white cabinets, quartz, drop pendents & recessed lighting. Primary suite offers a walk-in closet, double sinks & a walk-in shower w/ built-in benches. Front & back landscaping, plus a fenced yard will be completed.
Key facts
- White cabinets
- Ss appliances
- Quartz
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-536 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (26.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.3% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Byron Kibler Elementary School (434 students, 41% FRL); Enumclaw Middle School (509 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Sr High School (1,339 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.93%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $336,450
- List price
- $290,000
- Delta
- -13.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1413 Orangewood St #21 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,342 (0%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $197 | 95 |
| 2048 Paradise Ave #13 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $384,950 | $267 | 84 |
| 2109 Timber St #39 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-3%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $262 | 84 |
| 1736 Timber St #115 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $344,000 | $239 | 84 |
| 2076 Paradise Ave #15 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $233 | 80 |
| 2108 Crystal Mountain Dr #86 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,450 (+8%) | 4mo | $342,900 | $236 | 78 |
| 2063 Crystal Mountain Dr #107 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $450,135 | $313 | 77 |
| 1638 Glacier St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,450 (+8%) | 10mo | $417,000 | $288 | 72 |
| 2076 Crystal Mountain Dr #89 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (+11%) | 4mo | $332,900 | $224 | 68 |
| 2234 Sunset Ave | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+11%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $77 | 54 |
| 2257 Estero Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-12%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 2375 Rincon Ave #121 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+13%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $149 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-78,625
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-101,800
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.3 mo (31%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $316,775 ($263/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 49 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98022
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $-536
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-336 | -5% $-436 | +0% $-536 | +5% $-637 | +10% $-737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-683 | -5% $-610 | +0% $-536 | +5% $-463 | +10% $-390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-390 | -0.5pp $-463 | base $-536 | +0.5pp $-611 | +1.0pp $-688 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 556 Bondgard Ave E Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,995 | $2.02 | 59d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 615 Watson St N Unit 617B Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,999 | $2.08 | 37d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 124 Jewell St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $3,200 | $2.08 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 31d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $290,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $290,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $290,000 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $290,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $290,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $290,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $290,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $290,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $290,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $290,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $290,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $290,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $290,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $290,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $290,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $290,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $290,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $290,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $290,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $290,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $290,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $290,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $290,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $290,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $290,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $290,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $290,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $290,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $290,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $290,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $290,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $290,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $290,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $290,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $290,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $290,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $290,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $290,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $290,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $290,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 298 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥84°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$4,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$11,753
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,616/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enumclaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300001
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,441
- Composite
- 55.21/100
- National rank
- #2736
- State rank
- #46 of 291 in WA
Livability — Enumclaw
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Enumclaw, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 22,418
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,418
- Household income
- $120,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -605.16%
- Current HPI
- 297.9161
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.32%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
-7.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $290,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-08 Listed $315,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…