8046 Scanlan Trce · Sienna, TX 77459

$297,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,566 sqft · Townhouse public records · 20 Days on market

Built 2022 Excellent condition Est $283k · at est. $215/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.8/30.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +5.3/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Appreciation +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 30153434 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes. Ready Now! ~ This Houston floorplan has a bright and open floor plan seamlessly connecting the family room to the kitchen with the powder room on the first floor. Upstairs all three bedrooms are located with a loft area you can use as a sitting or office space with a hall bath featuring double sinks, and the laundry room provides total comfort. The primary suite with double vanity and an oversized shower. Our townhomes have the space you need and the style you want in a highly desirable master-planned community of Sienna that spans 10,800 acres and provides a wooded landscape and vibrant lifestyle with seven community pools throughout the community. In addition, there are four onsite elementary schools, an onsite middle school, and an onsite high school in the highly sought-after Fort Bend ISD. So come by and visit us!

Key facts

• Private driveway
• Nearby guest parking
• Vinyl plank flooring

Tags

• VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• OPEN AND FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT
• SPACIOUS WALK-IN PANTRY
• FULLY EQUIPPED KITCHEN
• PRIVATE DRIVEWAY
• NEARBY GUEST PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease considered
• HOA & community: Association: SPRIA; Annual association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, playground, dog park, tennis and sport courts, basketball court, pickleball, trails, lake/pond, meeting/party room, and park; Association fee covers clubhouse, common areas, maintenance of structures, and recreation facilities

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
• Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; South-facing; 2 stories; Entry level on first floor
• Construction: Built in 2022; Brick, cement siding, and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Paved driveway; Tennis court(s); Front yard; Side yard

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing range; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Granite counters
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (13 x 14); Two additional bedrooms on second floor (each 10 x 13)
• Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Tile; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Zoned heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Zoned cooling
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Granite counters; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Primary bathroom; Pantry; Vanity; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Living/dining room; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows; Window coverings
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in utility room; Washer included; Dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Tankless water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $297k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $297k).
• Recommended offer: $293k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.3% in Sienna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ronald Thornton Middle (math 40% / reading 52%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,529 students, 41% FRL); Ridge Point H S (math 61% / reading 69%, grade B, #198 of 1,632 statewide, top 12%, 3,170 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($293k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.

Recommended offer $292,545 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.75%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $283,446
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8033 Scanlan Trl	0.03mi	3/2.5	1,736 (+11%)	3mo	$285,000	$164	78
8038 Scanlan Trce	0.01mi	3/2.5	1,457 (-7%)	12mo	$259,000	$178	78
8001 Scanlan Trl	0.06mi	3/2.5	1,747 (+12%)	2mo	$284,990	$163	76
8022 Scanlan Trce	0.03mi	3/2.5	1,723 (+10%)	12mo	$293,000	$170	72
8033 Scanlan Oak	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,778 (+14%)	2mo	$299,000	$168	72
8010 Scanlan Oak	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,457 (-7%)	14mo	$275,000	$189	71
8041 Scanlan Oak #15	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,458 (-7%)	19mo	$299,990	$206	68
2906 Scanlan Meadow - Bldg 18	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,458 (-7%)	21mo	$316,990	$217	66
8051 Scanlan Trace - Bldg 1	0.03mi	3/2.5	1,743 (+11%)	21mo	$328,490	$188	62
2930 Scanlan Meadow - Bldg 19	0.14mi	3/2.5	1,743 (+11%)	20mo	$309,990	$178	58
8006 Scanlan Oak -bldg 17	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,745 (+11%)	20mo	$314,990	$181	58
2910 Scanlan Meadow - Bldg 18	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,745 (+11%)	21mo	$319,990	$183	58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $8,539
• Equity at exit: $62,289

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.51×
• Total profit: $42,807
• Equity at exit: $57,695

Cash invested: $83,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77459

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 1215
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,262 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,558
• Tax from tax record: −$657 /mo · $7,879/yr
• Insurance: −$124
• HOA: −$215
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$895
• Net cashflow: $814

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,231

Max offer price $297,000

Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $982	-5% $898	+0% $814	+5% $730	+10% $646
Rent	-10% $478	-5% $646	+0% $814	+5% $983	+10% $1,151
Rate	-1.0pp $964	-0.5pp $890	base $814	+0.5pp $737	+1.0pp $659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,250
• Closing costs: $8,910
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2142 Ironwood Pass Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.0	2140	$6,000	$2.80	2d	1	1.11mi
1714 Forest Mist Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	3.0	1979	$3,000	$1.52	44d	1	1.22mi
8719 Fox Trail Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.5	2143	$6,000	$2.80	22d	1	1.28mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $215 · $2,580/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-13
   days on market $297,000 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $297,000 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $297,000 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $297,000 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   days on market $297,000 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $297,000 Active 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $297,000 Active 9 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $297,000 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $297,000 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-04-28
    listed $297,000 Active
11. 2023-05-19
    historical
12. 2023-05-17
    listed $2,520 Active
13. 2023-03-01
    soldstatus Sold 875-char remark

    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    MLS# 30153434 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes. Ready Now! ~ This Houston floorplan has a bright and open floor plan seamlessly connecting the family room to the kitchen with the powder room on the first floor. Upstairs all three bedrooms are located with a loft area you can use as a sitting or office space with a hall bath featuring double sinks, and the laundry room provides total comfort. The primary suite with double vanity and an oversized shower. Our townhomes have the space you need and the style you want in a highly desirable master-planned community of Sienna that spans 10,800 acres and provides a wooded landscape and vibrant lifestyle with seven community pools throughout the community. In addition, there are four onsite elementary schools, an onsite middle school, and an onsite high school in the highly sought-after Fort Bend ISD. So come by and visit us!

14. 2023-02-28
    soldstatus
15. 2022-12-07
    price $299,990 875-char remark

    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    MLS# 30153434 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes. Ready Now! ~ This Houston floorplan has a bright and open floor plan seamlessly connecting the family room to the kitchen with the powder room on the first floor. Upstairs all three bedrooms are located with a loft area you can use as a sitting or office space with a hall bath featuring double sinks, and the laundry room provides total comfort. The primary suite with double vanity and an oversized shower. Our townhomes have the space you need and the style you want in a highly desirable master-planned community of Sienna that spans 10,800 acres and provides a wooded landscape and vibrant lifestyle with seven community pools throughout the community. In addition, there are four onsite elementary schools, an onsite middle school, and an onsite high school in the highly sought-after Fort Bend ISD. So come by and visit us!

16. 2022-11-11
    price $313,290 875-char remark

    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    MLS# 30153434 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes. Ready Now! ~ This Houston floorplan has a bright and open floor plan seamlessly connecting the family room to the kitchen with the powder room on the first floor. Upstairs all three bedrooms are located with a loft area you can use as a sitting or office space with a hall bath featuring double sinks, and the laundry room provides total comfort. The primary suite with double vanity and an oversized shower. Our townhomes have the space you need and the style you want in a highly desirable master-planned community of Sienna that spans 10,800 acres and provides a wooded landscape and vibrant lifestyle with seven community pools throughout the community. In addition, there are four onsite elementary schools, an onsite middle school, and an onsite high school in the highly sought-after Fort Bend ISD. So come by and visit us!

17. 2022-11-04
    listed $323,290 Active 875-char remark

    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    MLS# 30153434 - Built by HistoryMaker Homes. Ready Now! ~ This Houston floorplan has a bright and open floor plan seamlessly connecting the family room to the kitchen with the powder room on the first floor. Upstairs all three bedrooms are located with a loft area you can use as a sitting or office space with a hall bath featuring double sinks, and the laundry room provides total comfort. The primary suite with double vanity and an oversized shower. Our townhomes have the space you need and the style you want in a highly desirable master-planned community of Sienna that spans 10,800 acres and provides a wooded landscape and vibrant lifestyle with seven community pools throughout the community. In addition, there are four onsite elementary schools, an onsite middle school, and an onsite high school in the highly sought-after Fort Bend ISD. So come by and visit us!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $7,879 · $657/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,879 · $657/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $51,145
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,637
• − Property taxes: −$7,879
• − Insurance: −$1,485
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,092
• − Management: −$4,092
• − HOA: −$2,580
• − Depreciation: −$8,640
• Taxable income: $5,741
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,378
• After-tax cash flow: $8,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This well-maintained and modern townhome is move-in ready with a bright and open floor plan, stylish kitchen, and a good condition exterior. It offers a great opportunity for an investor looking to rent or sell.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
• Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more renters and increase rental value.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting. ↑
• Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can attract more renters and increase rental value. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sienna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sienna, TX
• County: Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
• City population: 123,513
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 84,221
• Household income: $129,151
• Rent vs Own: 14.8% rent · 85.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1004.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.67%
• Current HPI: 212.3573
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.15%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-8.1% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Listed $297,000 HARMLS
• 2023-05-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2023-05-17 Listed $2,520 HARMLS
• 2023-03-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2023-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2022-12-07 Price Changed $299,990 HARMLS
• 2022-11-11 Price Changed $313,290 HARMLS
• 2022-11-04 Listed $323,290 HARMLS