269 Vickey Dr · Richlands, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New metal roof
- Enclosed back porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($889 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.4% in Richlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#314 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, schools B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.97%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $121,895
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -42.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Royal St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 899 (-9%) | 16mo | $67,000 | $75 | 57 |
| 106 Fairview St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 219 Oak St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+3%) | 20mo | $65,000 | $64 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $9,654
- Equity at exit
- $14,015
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $34,069
- Equity at exit
- $12,379
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24641
- Home prices YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $889 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $346/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $70,000 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.
-
2026-04-10price $70,000 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.
-
2026-03-09$80,000 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.
-
2026-03-07$80,000 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.
-
2022-01-10soldstatus $52,000
-
2022-01-10soldstatus $52,000
-
2021-05-31$59,900
-
2021-05-31$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $346 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 66.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$346
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$853
- − Management
- −$853
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,308
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$554
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tazewell County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103810
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,003
- Composite
- 60.16/100
- National rank
- #865
- State rank
- #21 of 131 in VA
Livability — Richlands
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #314
- US rank
- #11229
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richlands, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,417
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,275 people
- By 2030
- 35,719 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 30,875 · -19.3%
- By 2050
- 26,798 · -30.0%
- By 2075
- 19,286 · -49.6%
- By 2100
- 13,631 · -64.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.87%
- Current HPI
- 141.9823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+16.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $70,000 SWVAR
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $70,000 NRVMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $80,000 SWVAR
- 2026-03-07 Listed $80,000 NRVMLS
- 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $52,000 SWVAR
- 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MTCBOR
- 2021-05-31 Listed $59,900 SWVAR
- 2021-05-31 Listed $59,900 MTCBOR
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $346 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…