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269 Vickey Dr
A- Composite 81.08
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,000

269 Vickey Dr · Richlands, VA 24641
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1955 0.45 ac lot $71/sqft · 43% below area Est $122k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • New metal roof
  • Enclosed back porch

Tags

NEW METAL ROOFPEX PIPESUNFINISHED BASEMENTCOVERED FRONT PORCHENCLOSED BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($889 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.4% in Richlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#314 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, schools B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.05%
Cash-on-cash
16.97%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,895
List price
$70,000
Delta
-42.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Royal St 0.31mi 2/1.0 899 (-9%) 16mo $67,000 $75 57
106 Fairview St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+1%) 10mo $140,000 $140 56
219 Oak St 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,018 (+3%) 20mo $65,000 $64 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$9,654
Equity at exit
$14,015
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$34,069
Equity at exit
$12,379

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24641

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $346/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $538
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    price $70,000 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.

  17. 2026-04-10
    price $70,000 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $80,000 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.

  19. 2026-03-07
    listed $80,000 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Built in 1955 this home located in the town of Richlands can be your next home or investment opportunity. With a new metal roof and PEX pipes throughout the home, this two bedroom, one bath could be perfect for you. It also offers an unfinished basement for potential storage, a covered front porch, and an enclosed back porch.

  20. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $52,000
  21. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $52,000
  22. 2021-05-31
    listed $59,900
  23. 2021-05-31
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$346 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$574 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$228/yr (+$19/mo · 66.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,668
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$346
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$853
− Management
−$853
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$2,308
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$554
After-tax cash flow
$2,773/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tazewell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103810
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,003
Composite
60.16/100
National rank
#865
State rank
#21 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richlands

Score
66/100
State rank
#314
US rank
#11229

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richlands, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,417

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,275 people
By 2030
35,719 · -6.7%
By 2040
30,875 · -19.3%
By 2050
26,798 · -30.0%
By 2075
19,286 · -49.6%
By 2100
13,631 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
141.9823
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $70,000 SWVAR
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $70,000 NRVMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $80,000 SWVAR
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $80,000 NRVMLS
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $52,000 SWVAR
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MTCBOR
  • 2021-05-31 Listed $59,900 SWVAR
  • 2021-05-31 Listed $59,900 MTCBOR

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $346 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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