🏷️ Likely Rental
401 3rd Ave. Ave SW #4 · Le Mars, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Living! This condo unit is on the upper level of the complex. 2 BR's, 1 Full Bath, the Laundry area includes Washer/Dryer (1 year old). The attached garage also has an extra storage area where the electrical service comes in. There is a door going to the backyard here. HOA fees: $200/month includes Mowing, Snow Removal & Blanket Insurance for the building. All Electric - avg. utilities $72/month. Tenant occupied, needs 24 hour notice.
Key facts
- $200 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1990
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.7% in Le Mars — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#48 in IA, #1,235 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Le Mars Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #96 of 289 in IA (top 33%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Plymouth County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.58%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $223,000
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- -41.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,333
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,082
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51031
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $349 | -5% $304 | +0% $259 | +5% $214 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $191 | +0% $259 | +5% $327 | +10% $395 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $324 | -0.5pp $292 | base $259 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 4th St NW Le Mars, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,714 | $1.70 | 44d | 32 | 0.71mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
- Likely covers
- electricsnow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$129,500 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Affordable Living! This condo unit is on the upper level of the complex. 2 BR's, 1 Full Bath, the Laundry area includes Washer/Dryer (1 year old). The attached garage also has an extra storage area where the electrical service comes in. There is a door going to the backyard here. HOA fees: $200/month includes Mowing, Snow Removal & Blanket Insurance for the building. All Electric - avg. utilities $72/month. Tenant occupied, needs 24 hour notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,645
- − Management
- −$1,645
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $1,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This condo requires moderate repairs and updates to its interior and exterior to improve its condition and value. The most impactful updates would be to the exterior siding, interior walls, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Significant weathering and discoloration
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Moderate Carpeting — Worn appearance
- Moderate Paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpeting — New carpeting improves comfort and appearance
- Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen updates attract more buyers
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Significant weathering and discoloration | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Carpeting · Worn appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Paint · Faded appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $27,000–110,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpeting — New carpeting improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen updates attract more buyers ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Le Mars Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1916530
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,414
- Composite
- 61.97/100
- National rank
- #723
- State rank
- #96 of 289 in IA
Livability — Le Mars
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #1235
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Le Mars, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,785
Population outlook (Plymouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,214 people
- By 2030
- 25,257 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 25,304 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 25,421 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 26,820 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 27,604 · +9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Portuguese 3% Ukrainian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Plymouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.3% · R 76.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.1pp · 2024: -54.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.2 2020: R+49.3 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+25.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.02%
- Current HPI
- 283.6093
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $129,500 NWIA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…