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4628 Avenue
C+ Composite 60.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,500

4628 Avenue · Birmingham, AL 35208
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,424 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot Est $57k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4628 Ave S, a promising property nestled in the heart of Birmingham, AL 35208—an area gaining attention for its potential, revitalization, and value. Whether you're a savvy investor, first-time buyer, or someone looking to expand your rental portfolio, this home offers a compelling opportunity at an affordable price point. This property features a classic Southern layout with generous living space, offering multiple bedrooms and a functional floor plan that can easily be customized to fit your vision. Large windows invite natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout the home. With solid bones and plenty of character, this residence is ideal for renovati

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Natural light
  • Spacious lot

Tags

CLASSIC SOUTHERN LAYOUTGENEROUS LIVING SPACEFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANLARGE WINDOWSNATURAL LIGHTSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Central Park; Approximately 0.16 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing construction; Siding vinyl exterior
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: No pool; No patio; No decks; No garden/patio; Not waterfront; Lot view: none

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate and solid surface countertops
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with tub/shower combinations
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; No air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility sink; Laundry room with a pull-down attic access nearby

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #616 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 447 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,382 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.64%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$56,960
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4637 Avenue R 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,378 (-3%) 3mo $28,500 $21 79
1607 43rd St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (+1%) 5mo $85,000 $59 74
4728 Terrace 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,276 (-10%) 4mo $29,900 $23 66
1836 Bessemer Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,258 (-12%) 4mo $55,000 $44 62
1825 49th St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,532 (+8%) 4mo $51,000 $33 59
1523 44th St E 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,307 (-8%) 5mo $133,000 $102 57
4829 Avenue 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,247 (-12%) 5mo $50,000 $40 54
3300 Avenue Q 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,227 (-14%) 0mo $35,000 $29 50
1527 46th Street Ensley 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,571 (+10%) 6mo $35,000 $22 47
1113 51st St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,231 (-14%) 3mo $204,900 $166 47
1341 41st St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,340 (-6%) 6mo $106,000 $79 47
1508 W 51st St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,264 (-11%) 2mo $30,000 $24 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$15,630
Equity at exit
$11,108
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$64,771
Equity at exit
$6,441

Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35208

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,089 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$391
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $963/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $635
Max offer price $74,500
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $401 -5% $380 +0% $359 +5% $338 +10% $317
Rent -10% $273 -5% $316 +0% $359 +5% $402 +10% $445
Rate -1.0pp $396 -0.5pp $378 base $359 +0.5pp $339 +1.0pp $320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,625
Closing costs
$2,235
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4637 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1225 $975 $0.80 3d 1 0.12mi
4612 Terrace S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1612 $1,050 $0.65 45d 1 0.15mi
4732 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1372 $1,100 $0.80 45d 1 0.17mi
4736 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,200 $0.92 4d 1 0.18mi
4724 Court R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1016 $895 $0.88 16d 1 0.18mi
4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,000 $0.76 45d 1 0.20mi
4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1198 $900 $0.75 45d 1 0.23mi
4105 Avenue Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 3.0 1760 $1,250 $0.71 4d 1 0.24mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 45d 1 0.25mi
4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,050 $0.80 17d 1 0.26mi
4817 Court R Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1530 $1,300 $0.85 17d 1 0.26mi
1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1413 $1,030 $0.73 17d 1 0.29mi
1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,150 $0.80 25d 1 0.30mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 25d 1 0.32mi
2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1383 $1,250 $0.90 45d 1 0.35mi
1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 899 $1,037 $1.15 45d 1 0.37mi
2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,300 $0.99 45d 1 0.39mi
1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,100 $0.97 45d 1 0.42mi
4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 45d 1 0.42mi
3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,250 $1.05 25d 1 0.43mi
1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,123 $0.89 13d 1 0.43mi
1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,195 $1.12 45d 1 0.44mi
1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1440 $875 $0.61 4d 1 0.44mi
1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,100 $0.94 22d 1 0.46mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1069 $950 $0.89 45d 1 0.51mi
3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,095 $0.93 25d 1 0.53mi
1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,000 $0.75 3d 1 0.53mi
1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,073 $1.10 45d 1 0.53mi
1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,100 $0.82 45d 1 0.53mi
1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1036 $850 $0.82 17d 1 0.54mi
1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 45d 1 0.57mi
1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,050 $0.99 45d 1 0.57mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,200 $1.11 20d 1 0.59mi
1345 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1617 $1,175 $0.73 4d 1 0.62mi
1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,025 $0.93 45d 1 0.63mi
2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 990 $975 $0.98 46d 1 0.65mi
208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 926 $1,050 $1.13 4d 1 0.66mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 45d 1 0.66mi
3017 Ensley Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1540 $1,400 $0.91 3d 1 0.69mi
1417 Bessemer Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1688 $1,200 $0.71 45d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,500 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,500 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,500 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,500 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,500 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,500 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,500 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 693-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,500 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,500 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,500 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,500 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,500 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $74,500 Active
  17. 2025-04-01
    soldstatus $66,400
  18. 2024-03-07
    historical $945
  19. 2024-02-14
    price $945
  20. 2023-11-18
    listed $995
  21. 1996-04-17
    soldstatus $500
  22. 1992-01-09
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$963 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$963 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,074
− Mortgage interest
−$4,173
− Property taxes
−$963
− Insurance
−$372
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,046
− Management
−$1,046
− Depreciation
−$2,167
Taxable income
$3,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$793
After-tax cash flow
$3,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,412
Household income
$38,561
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.99%
Current HPI
153.414
Rent YoY
▲ 7.24%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+365.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $74,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,400 Public Records
  • 2024-03-07 Rental Removed $945 RENTLY
  • 2024-02-14 Price Changed $945 RENTLY
  • 2023-11-18 Listed for Rent $995 RENTLY
  • 1996-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $500 Public Records
  • 1992-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $963 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…