823 S Sterling St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
Key facts
- 6,520 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1982
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,370/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $454 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $84k (56%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $66k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.86%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,830
- List price
- $65,600
- Delta
- -33.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 Eleventh St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-5%) | 14mo | $169,500 | $117 | 67 |
| 942 St Charles St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (+8%) | 10mo | $66,000 | $40 | 66 |
| 412 S Sterling St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (+8%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $85 | 65 |
| 138 N General Marshall St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-8%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 106 13th St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-9%) | 4mo | $51,000 | $37 | 60 |
| 1002 Saint Charles St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,712 (+12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $29 | 59 |
| 123 Park Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,613 (+6%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 602 Pershing Rd | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+5%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 321 Verdun St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (+9%) | 2mo | $33,500 | $20 | 55 |
| 1740 E Pinhook Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-6%) | 9mo | $140,984 | $99 | 53 |
| 311 Pershing St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,647 (+8%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $76 | 49 |
| 109 Shadycrest Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,643 (+8%) | 1mo | $139,175 | $85 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $36,447
- Equity at exit
- $9,781
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.12×
- Total profit
- $112,435
- Equity at exit
- $5,672
Cash invested: $18,368 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$344
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $844/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,400
- Closing costs
- $1,968
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 908 Saint Charles St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1002 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 126 S Refinery St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,495 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 423 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $950 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 908 Lamar St Unit 108 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 300 Roosevelt St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 330 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 300 General Mouton Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 213 General Gardner Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 117 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 109 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 615 Lafayette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1404 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,495 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1426 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,495 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 228 Amelia St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1796 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 701 W Taft St #7 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 114 Carlin St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 215 Versailles Blvd Unit 3 Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,675 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1011 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1181 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1114 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1312 W University Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3600 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 5 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-05price $69,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-05-05price $69,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-04-19price $78,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-04-19price $78,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-04-01price $93,800 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-04-01price $93,800 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-03-16price $105,500 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-03-16price $105,500 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-02-24price $126,200 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-02-24price $126,200 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-02-05$149,500 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
2026-02-05$149,500 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, two bath home and see if it may be your next investment. "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.
-
1995-10-06soldstatus $40,300
-
1994-07-06$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $844 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $844 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,441
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,675
- − Property taxes
- −$844
- − Insurance
- −$328
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$1,908
- Taxable income
- $7,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,693
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+53.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $69,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $69,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $78,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $78,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $93,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $93,800 GSREIN
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $105,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $105,500 GSREIN
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $126,200 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $126,200 GSREIN
- 2026-02-05 Listed $149,500 GSREIN
- 2026-02-05 Listed $149,500 AcadianaMLS
- 1995-10-06 Sold (MLS) $40,300 AcadianaMLS
- 1994-07-06 Listed $45,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $844 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…