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14601 N Oak St
B+ Composite 78.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

14601 N Oak St · Carbon, IN 47837
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1976 0.26 ac lot $55/sqft · 127% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bank-owned opportunity in Carbon, Indiana! This 1976 manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car detached garage, all set in a peaceful rural location. Property needs some TLC and is priced accordingly—perfect for investors or handy buyers looking to add value. Cash or conventional financing only. Don’t miss the potential this property has to offer!

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1976

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-story manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Manufactured home construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot of about 0.26 acres; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#618 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clay Community Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #79 of 301 in IN (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Van Buren Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #500 of 994 statewide, top 53%, 246 students, 65% FRL); North Clay Middle School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #84 of 330 statewide, top 26%, 744 students, 57% FRL); Northview High School (math 43% / reading 66%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 943 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.27%
Cash-on-cash
21.36%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,201
List price
$79,900
Delta
126.98%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 W N Second St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+12%) 11mo $35,000 $22 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$60,354
Equity at exit
$62,893
10-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
7.99×
Total profit
$156,436
Equity at exit
$126,991

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47837

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $453 -5% $426 +0% $398 +5% $371 +10% $343
Rent -10% $303 -5% $351 +0% $398 +5% $446 +10% $493
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $419 base $398 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $356

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $84,900 Active 381-char remark
  18. 2022-10-25
    soldstatus $90,000
  19. 2003-07-18
    historical
  20. 2003-03-18
    listed $69,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,436
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$895
After-tax cash flow
$3,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay Community Schools
NCES district ID
1800840
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,673
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3733
State rank
#79 of 301 in IN

Livability — Carbon

Score
56/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#22641

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbon, IN
Population (ZIP)
876

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,820 people
By 2030
25,182 · -2.5%
By 2040
23,562 · -8.7%
By 2050
21,829 · -15.5%
By 2075
17,939 · -30.5%
By 2100
14,042 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 20.7% · R 77.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-45.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+11.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.40%
Current HPI
250.6063
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $79,900 THAAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $84,900 THAAR
  • 2022-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-18 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-03-18 Listed $69,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-14.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $89 · -26.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…