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13-2 Florence Tollgate
C- Composite 53.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

13-2 Florence Tollgate · Florence, NJ 08518
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 774 sqft · Townhouse · 133 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition $128/sqft · 16% below area Est $118k · 16% under $719/mo HOA · 41% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This upgraded one bedroom Florence Tollgate condo is located on the ground level and offers waterproof vinyl flooring throughout. The recently painted walls have white chair rails and are accented with two tone gray-based walls that present a very clean and neat look. The entry door leads you into an open floor plan with the connected living room and dining area. The passageway opening from the dining room into the kitchen completes the nice open floor plan. There are white cabinets and appliances, and an added counter space with additional base cabinets on the half wall of the passage window. The dining room has a patio sliding glass door for easy access to your concrete patio and your vehicle parking lot. The bedroom is found at the end of the hallway and is adjacent to the bathroom. The remodeled bathroom offers a step-in shower for easy access. There are many storage closets leading through the hallway, which offer plenty of additional storage in this unit. A hallway linen closet is provided, as well. The monthly association fee includes your heat, water, and sewer, and allows for pool permits during the season. The low taxes make this a very affordable unit for the occupancy as a resident or for the investor looking to add to their financial portfolio. These units are within 1 mile of the River Line Train station and close to the public bus routes. For commuters, this ideal location allows easy access to all major roadways and to Philadelphia and NYC. The town offers many conveniences such as delicatessens, drug stores, restaurants, post offices, and local schools. The historic Roebling Museum, many parks, and recreational trails are found in town for your exploration and exercise. This is one of those units that will entice you to purchase.

Key facts

  • All new windows
  • Brand new kitchen
  • New exterior door

Tags

BRAND NEW KITCHENELEGANT QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSALL NEW WINDOWSNEW EXTERIOR DOORCOMPLETELY UPDATED BATHROOMTEMPERED GLASS SHOWER DOOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-160/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (1.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#255 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Florence Township School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #301 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Roebling Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,143 of 1,303 statewide, top 88%, 373 students, 40% FRL); Florence Riverfront School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #285 of 431 statewide, top 67%, 649 students, 34% FRL); Florence Township Memorial High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #169 of 399 statewide, top 44%, 484 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 101d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,762
List price
$99,000
Delta
-15.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3-8 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.06mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 1mo $77,500 $100 96
6 Florence Tollgate Pl #3 0.05mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 3mo $105,000 $136 95
27--7 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.11mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 2mo $90,000 $116 93
38-3 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.17mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 2mo $100,000 $129 91
18-2 Florence Tollgate #2 0.15mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 4mo $102,000 $132 89
24-6 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.11mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 7mo $100,000 $129 89
6-8 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.05mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 13mo $95,000 $123 87
27-2 Florence Tollgate Pl Unit 27-2 0.18mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 7mo $95,000 $123 86
27-2 Florence Tollgate Apts Pl #2 0.18mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 7mo $95,000 $123 86
4-2 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.06mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 15mo $129,995 $168 85
38-3 Florence Tollgate Pl 0.21mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 8mo $41,000 $53 83
3-4 Florence Tollgate 0.15mi 1/1.0 774 (0%) 12mo $115,000 $149 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-16,422
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-13,489
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
15 active · 7 under contract
Months of supply
12.9 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$110,000 ($130/sqft)
Median days on market
128 d
This list price
20% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+16.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08518

Home prices YoY
-22.6%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,759 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$719
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,776
Max offer price $97,074
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $55 -5% $21 +0% $-13 +5% $-48 +10% $-82
Rent -10% $-152 -5% $-83 +0% $-13 +5% $56 +10% $126
Rate -1.0pp $37 -0.5pp $12 base $-13 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12 Florence Tollgate Florence, NJ 1.0 1.0 774 $1,660 $2.14 84d 1 0.03mi
7 Florence Tollgate Florence, NJ 2.0 1.5 960 $1,850 $1.93 57d 1 0.05mi
8 Florence Tollgate Florence, NJ 1.0 1.0 774 $1,725 $2.23 10d 1 0.06mi
4 Florence Tollgate Florence, NJ 1.0 1.0 774 $1,600 $2.07 40d 1 0.10mi
5 Florence Tollgate Unit 7 Florence, NJ 2.0 1.5 960 $1,950 $2.03 101d 1 0.11mi
20 Florence Tollgate Pl #1 Florence, NJ 1.0 1.0 774 $1,800 $2.33 110d 1 0.14mi
21 Florence Tollgate Pl #4 Florence, NJ 2.0 1.0 960 $1,850 $1.93 110d 1 0.16mi
225 W 2nd St Florence, NJ 1.0 1.0 733 $674 $0.92 139d 1 0.57mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Ground rent paid annually
HOA & community
Monthly condo/HOA fee (amount not restated here)HOA covers water, sewer, heat, ground fee, common area maintenance, management, pools, and snow removalCommunity amenities include outdoor pool and clubhouseProperty manager presentPets allowed (cats and dogs permitted)

Exterior

Parking
Paved parking in a parking lot
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectric service
Home design
Condominium unit in a garden-style building (1–4 floors)Unit/flatEntry on level 1Building winterizedExcellent property conditionFacing information not provided
Construction
Brick and vinyl siding exteriorArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundationYear built/effective remodel: 2026 (assessor)
Exterior features
Community outdoor poolAbove-grade and below-grade structuresNot in a federal flood zone

Interior

Kitchen
RefrigeratorMicrowaveElectric oven/range
Bedrooms
One bedroom on the main level
Flooring
Laminate plank flooring
Bathrooms
One full bathroom on the main level
Heating & cooling
Forced air heating (natural gas)Central air conditioning (electric)Electric hot water
Interior features
Walk-in shower bathroomEntry-level bedroomWindow treatmentsLiving roomDining roomKitchen
Laundry & utility
Washer in unitDryer in unitWasher/dryer hookups on main floor

HOA detail $719/mo · $8,628/yr

Likely covers
watersewerpool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-11
    days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-09-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-09-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-09-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-08-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-08-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-08-29
    days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-08-28
    days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-08-27
    days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-08-26
    days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-08-25
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-08-24
    days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-08-23
    days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
  14. 2026-08-22
    days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
  15. 2026-08-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-08-20
    days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
  17. 2026-08-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
  18. 2026-08-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
  19. 2026-08-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
  20. 2026-08-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
  21. 2026-08-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 106 DOM
  22. 2026-08-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
  23. 2026-08-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
  24. 2026-08-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
  25. 2026-08-11
    days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
  26. 2026-08-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
  27. 2026-08-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 100 DOM
  28. 2026-08-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
  29. 2026-08-06
    days on market $99,000 Active 97 DOM
  30. 2026-08-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
  31. 2026-08-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
  32. 2026-08-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 94 DOM
  33. 2026-07-31
    pricedays on market $99,000 Active 91 DOM
  34. 2026-07-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 89 DOM
  35. 2026-07-28
    days on market $109,000 Active 88 DOM
  36. 2026-07-26
    days on market $109,000 Active 86 DOM
  37. 2026-07-24
    days on market $109,000 Active 84 DOM
  38. 2026-07-23
    days on market $109,000 Active 83 DOM
  39. 2026-07-22
    days on market $109,000 Active 82 DOM
  40. 2026-07-21
    days on market $109,000 Active 81 DOM
  41. 2026-07-20
    days on market $109,000 Active 80 DOM
  42. 2026-07-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 78 DOM
  43. 2026-07-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
  44. 2026-07-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
  45. 2026-07-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 75 DOM
  46. 2026-07-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 74 DOM
  47. 2026-07-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
  48. 2026-07-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 72 DOM
  49. 2026-07-11
    days on market $109,000 Active 71 DOM
  50. 2026-07-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 70 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,112
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,689
− Management
−$1,689
− HOA
−$8,628
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$1,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$312
After-tax cash flow
$152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $3,870–$11,610 screening

This move-in ready, well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo offers modern comfort and style throughout.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace the entryway mat — Improves first impression and cleanliness
  • Both Install new window treatments — Enhances aesthetics and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Roebling Elementary School F NJ #1,143/1,303 Nat'l #36,758/41,679 Middle Florence Riverfront School F NJ #285/431 Nat'l #8,317/14,009 High Florence Township Memorial High School F NJ #169/399 Nat'l #7,572/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence Township School District
NCES district ID
3405220
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$77,044
Composite
30.34/100
National rank
#6266
State rank
#301 of 472 in NJ
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Florence

Score
71/100
State rank
#255
US rank
#7317

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, NJ
County
Burlington · 453,425 people
City population
5,830
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
5,830
Household income
$102,321
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Italian 5% Slovene 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+7166.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-12 Sold (MLS) $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $108,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $118,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $126,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-20 Rental Removed $1,650 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2025-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,650 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Rental Removed $1,700 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,700 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Rental Removed $1,500 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed for Rent $1,500 BRIGHTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…