6180 Via Real #67 · Carpinteria, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$395,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits in Vista de Santa Barbara, one of Carpinteria's most sought-after 55+ communities. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac in this beautifully maintained park, this property offers the chance to renovate the existing mobile home and make it your own or explore the possibility of replacing it with a new home. Inside, a sun porch provides valuable additional living space, while outside you'll find two storage sheds, including one set up as a workshop complete with a workbench and tool storage. There is also room for a small garden, outdoor seating area, or your own personal touches. Just a short stroll from the Carpinteria Bluffs and stunning ocean views, this location offers the bes
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Sun porch
- Coastal living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story
- Construction: Built living area of 751; 1 floor in building
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $395k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Carpinteria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#283 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Carpinteria Unified (suburban): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #255 of 517 in CA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.2%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,599/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($110k/yr) (locally 718% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.80%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $17,914
- Equity at exit
- $58,896
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $200,603
- Equity at exit
- $34,152
Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93013
- Rents YoY
- 15.2%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,599 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$494 /mo · $5,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$966
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,750
- Closing costs
- $11,850
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
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2026-06-18days on market $395,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $395,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $395,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $395,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $395,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $395,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $395,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-08statusdays on market $395,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$395,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,126
- − Property taxes
- −$5,925
- − Insurance
- −$1,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,415
- − Management
- −$4,415
- − Depreciation
- −$11,491
- Taxable income
- $4,842
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,162
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carpinteria Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0607560
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,780
- Composite
- 32.27/100
- National rank
- #5758
- State rank
- #255 of 517 in CA
Livability — Carpinteria
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #9548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carpinteria, CA
- County
- Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
- City population
- 16,317
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,317
- Household income
- $110,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 718.0
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1390.66%
- Current HPI
- 345.0001
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.23%
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…