1 First St · Glens Falls, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
beautifully maintained and remodeled city hom with a beautiful yard w/deck and inground pool on a quiet dead end street.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1850
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.8% in Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#60 in NY, #894 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+.
- Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.82%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,044
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 4th St | 0.29mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,629 (-6%) | 4mo | $306,000 | $188 | 63 |
| 56 Sherman Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,804 (+4%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 15 Garfield St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,707 (-1%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 9 Division St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-7%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $172 | 56 |
| 6 Fielding St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (+7%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $162 | 56 |
| 9 Fairview St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,614 (-6%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 8 Faxon St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,942 (+12%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $170 | 49 |
| 16 Grove Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 | 1,922 (+11%) | 4mo | $244,110 | $127 | 44 |
| 26 Woodard St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (-9%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $195 | 44 |
| 136 Sherman Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-12%) | 3mo | $316,200 | $208 | 38 |
| 6 Feeder Bnd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (-13%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $227 | 36 |
| 29 E State St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-11%) | 7mo | $460,000 | $301 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $18,676
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $69,894
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12801
- Home prices YoY
- -13.7%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$349 /mo · $4,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $647
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492 Glen St Glens Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1912 | $2,650 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 173 Bay St Glens Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2023-03-29status Pending
-
2021-12-14status Pending
-
2020-05-22status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2020-02-22price $139,900
-
2019-09-17$144,900 Active
-
2019-08-29historical
-
2019-03-21$155,000
-
1999-07-06soldstatus $125,000 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
beautifully maintained and remodeled city hom with a beautiful yard w/deck and inground pool on a quiet dead end street.
-
1998-09-14$129,988 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
beautifully maintained and remodeled city hom with a beautiful yard w/deck and inground pool on a quiet dead end street.
-
1997-05-30soldstatus $84,000
-
1997-03-18$85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,184 · $349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,184 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$4,184
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,172
- − Management
- −$2,172
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $6,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,444
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glens Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612240
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,216
- Composite
- 41.34/100
- National rank
- #3499
- State rank
- #416 of 590 in NY
Livability — Glens Falls
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glens Falls, NY
- County
- Warren County · 14,628 people
- City population
- 14,628
- Metro
- Glens Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,628
- Household income
- $67,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 866.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Romanian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.28%
- Current HPI
- 330.581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Glens Falls, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+64.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2023-03-29 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-12-14 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-05-22 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-02-22 Price Changed $139,900 Global MLS
- 2019-09-17 Listed $144,900 Global MLS
- 2019-08-29 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2019-03-21 Listed $155,000 Global MLS
- 1999-07-06 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Global MLS
- 1998-09-14 Listed $129,988 Global MLS
- 1997-05-30 Sold (MLS) $84,000 Global MLS
- 1997-03-18 Listed $85,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,184 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…