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521 S Railroad St
B Composite 70.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

521 S Railroad St · Sharpsburg, NC 27803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 998 sqft · SingleFamily · 100 Days on market
Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot Est $133k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is packed with recent improvements and sits on a desirable corner lot with fenced yard in both the front and back. Perfect for someone looking for a great deal and a chance to add their own finishing touches Many Recent Updates & Features: New shingles/roof, New HVAC system, Tankless water heater, New vinyl windows, New subflooring, Drywall (dry rock) hung—just needs finishing, New storage shed, Plumbing fitting installed in one bedroom (ideal for adding a second bath or laundry) Bonus: With the right offer, some finishing materials AND new appliances will be included. Not fully completed, but all major items have already been addressed. Come in an

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • New vinyl windows
  • New shingles

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED YARDNEW SHINGLESNEW HVAC SYSTEMTANKLESS WATER HEATERNEW VINYL WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#595 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Frederick Douglass Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 357 students, 99% FRL); Elm City Middle (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 475 statewide, top 37%, 444 students, 99% FRL); Fike High (math 37% / reading 51%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 1,046 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,359 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.79%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,734
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
521 S Railroad St 0.00mi 2/1.0 998 (0%) 0mo $92,500 $93 100
309 John J Sharpe St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 979 (-2%) 18mo $130,000 $133 51
4045 S Hathaway Blvd 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,108 (+11%) 15mo $154,900 $140 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,273
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$38,185
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $327 -5% $294 +0% $261 +5% $228 +10% $196
Rent -10% $169 -5% $215 +0% $261 +5% $307 +10% $353
Rate -1.0pp $309 -0.5pp $285 base $261 +0.5pp $236 +1.0pp $211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-13
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-01
    listed $94,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,928
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,424
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$1,725
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$414
After-tax cash flow
$2,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilson County Schools
NCES district ID
3705020
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,342
Composite
32.64/100
National rank
#5665
State rank
#119 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sharpsburg

Score
57/100
State rank
#595
US rank
#21689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sharpsburg, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
1,099
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,765 people
By 2030
82,492 · -0.3%
By 2040
81,054 · -2.1%
By 2050
78,610 · -5.0%
By 2075
71,865 · -13.2%
By 2100
62,792 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $94,900 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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