521 S Railroad St · Sharpsburg, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is packed with recent improvements and sits on a desirable corner lot with fenced yard in both the front and back. Perfect for someone looking for a great deal and a chance to add their own finishing touches Many Recent Updates & Features: New shingles/roof, New HVAC system, Tankless water heater, New vinyl windows, New subflooring, Drywall (dry rock) hung—just needs finishing, New storage shed, Plumbing fitting installed in one bedroom (ideal for adding a second bath or laundry) Bonus: With the right offer, some finishing materials AND new appliances will be included. Not fully completed, but all major items have already been addressed. Come in an
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- New vinyl windows
- New shingles
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#595 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frederick Douglass Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 357 students, 99% FRL); Elm City Middle (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 475 statewide, top 37%, 444 students, 99% FRL); Fike High (math 37% / reading 51%, grade F, #367 of 535 statewide, top 69%, 1,046 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,734
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 S Railroad St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 998 (0%) | 0mo | $92,500 | $93 | 100 |
| 309 John J Sharpe St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 979 (-2%) | 18mo | $130,000 | $133 | 51 |
| 4045 S Hathaway Blvd | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,108 (+11%) | 15mo | $154,900 | $140 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,273
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $38,185
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27803
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $294 | +0% $261 | +5% $228 | +10% $196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $215 | +0% $261 | +5% $307 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $285 | base $261 | +0.5pp $236 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2025-12-01$94,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,114
- − Management
- −$1,114
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $1,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3705020
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,342
- Composite
- 32.64/100
- National rank
- #5665
- State rank
- #119 of 178 in NC
Livability — Sharpsburg
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #21689
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sharpsburg, NC
- County
- Nash County · 50,768 people
- City population
- 1,099
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,055
- Household income
- $60,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 641.0
Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,765 people
- By 2030
- 82,492 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 81,054 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 78,610 · -5.0%
- By 2075
- 71,865 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 62,792 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.95%
- Current HPI
- 190.0204
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.51%
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $94,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…