604 N Victoria Rd #5 · Donna, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$126,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Over 2000sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. We have customized our home just for you. Customer paint and shutters, smart panel exterior with 50 year warranty, granite counters in the itchen and the bathrooms, customer lighting and ceiling fans. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you!Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!
Key facts
- Smart panel exterior
- Ceiling fans
- Custom lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $127k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($877 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 768 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 768 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.39%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,380
- List price
- $126,900
- Delta
- 85.58%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $86,837
- Equity at exit
- $114,322
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.81×
- Total profit
- $241,844
- Equity at exit
- $246,539
Cash invested: $35,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78537
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$665
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $322 | +0% $278 | +5% $234 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $220 | +0% $278 | +5% $336 | +10% $393 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $310 | base $278 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,725
- Closing costs
- $3,807
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $126,900 Active 768 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $126,900 Active 765 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $126,900 Active 764 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $126,900 Active 763 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $126,900 Active 762 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $126,900 Active 760 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $126,900 Active 759 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $126,900 Active 757 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $126,900 Active 756 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $126,900 Active 755 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $126,900 Active 754 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $126,900 Active 751 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $126,900 Active 750 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $126,900 Active 749 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $126,900 Active 748 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $126,900 Active 747 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $126,900 Active 746 DOM
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2026-01-14price $126,900 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Over 2000sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. We have customized our home just for you. Customer paint and shutters, smart panel exterior with 50 year warranty, granite counters in the itchen and the bathrooms, customer lighting and ceiling fans. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you!Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!
-
2024-07-30price $121,900 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Over 2000sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. We have customized our home just for you. Customer paint and shutters, smart panel exterior with 50 year warranty, granite counters in the itchen and the bathrooms, customer lighting and ceiling fans. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you!Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!
-
2024-05-14$119,900 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Over 2000sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. We have customized our home just for you. Customer paint and shutters, smart panel exterior with 50 year warranty, granite counters in the itchen and the bathrooms, customer lighting and ceiling fans. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you!Price includes, delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, (2) 4x4 decks and upgrade vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,108
- − Property taxes
- −$1,904
- − Insurance
- −$634
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,403
- − Management
- −$1,403
- − Depreciation
- −$3,692
- Taxable income
- $1,398
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$336
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of functionality and style, making it a solid investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
- Both Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments can improve the home's appearance and increase its value
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's ambiance and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments can improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's ambiance and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Donna ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817390
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,330
- Composite
- 11.16/100
- National rank
- #9728
- State rank
- #821 of 826 in TX
Livability — Donna
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1411
- US rank
- #24172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 51,346
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,346
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.30%
- Current HPI
- 243.3933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+5.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $126,900 Zillow
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $121,900 Zillow
- 2024-05-14 Listed $119,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…