1431 St Louis Ave · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WOW! this home is UGGGGGGGLEEEE! HOWEVER this home has all the opportunity to be rehabbed and bring it's shine back to life. This home is great for long time investors or new investors to start their portfolio. Possibilities are unlimited
Key facts
- 7,250 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 66 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway (parking access)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor (including a master bedroom)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Hall bath; Electric oven connection; Gas water heater; Other
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $85k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.28%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,644
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1728 E Latimer Pl | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+0%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $89 | 63 |
| 2142 E Seminole St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+3%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $109 | 59 |
| 1516 N Xanthus Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,206 (+8%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $75 | 58 |
| 2130 E Oklahoma Pl | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+6%) | 11mo | $84,000 | $71 | 56 |
| 1747 E Latimer Pl | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $59 | 48 |
| 757 E Seminole St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+2%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 2126 E Queen Pl | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,032 (-8%) | 14mo | $163,047 | $158 | 46 |
| 2202 E Tecumseh St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,206 (+8%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $62 | 45 |
| 1008 E King Pl | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+12%) | 6mo | $68,000 | $54 | 36 |
| 750 E Queen Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (+14%) | 12mo | $213,000 | $167 | 30 |
| 1845 N Madison Pl | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+14%) | 13mo | $193,000 | $151 | 28 |
| 2143 N Owasso Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+15%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $155 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $22,642
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $68,601
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74106
- Home prices YoY
- -2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $188/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 N Quincy Ave Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,450 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1005 N Quincy Ave Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,450 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1008 E King Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $1,295 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1036 N Madison Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1623 N Atlanta Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,175 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1807 N Atlanta Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $995 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2144 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,050 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1928 N Columbia Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1816 N Delaware Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $950 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 720 N Columbia Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 205 E Marshall St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2529 E Admiral Pl Unit A Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1462 N College Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1507 N Florence Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 238 E Young Pl Unit B Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 238 E Young Pl Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$85,000 Active
-
2013-06-27soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $188 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$577/yr (+$48/mo · 306.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$188
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,356
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,655
- Household income
- $40,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1055.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.58%
- Current HPI
- 179.5268
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+325.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $85,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $188 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…