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275 Wilson St
B- Composite 68.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$58,900

275 Wilson St · Johnstown, PA 15906
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily · 35 Days on market
Built 1951 7,405 sqft lot $48/sqft · 5% above area Est $56k · 5% over ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very well cared for vinyl sided 4 Bedroom Ranch with awesome view!Nice plaster and hardwood flooring (some carpeted). Updated maple eat-in Kitchen includes range, over-stove microwave & refrigerator. Formal Dining Room & Spacious Living Room. Good closet space & nice size Bedrooms. Large Basement Rec Room, Laundry (includes washer & dryer), & Workshop. Boiler replaced in 2005, hot water tank in 2013. Covered front and side porches + Patio. 1 car Garage with automatic opener. Manicured yard w/ gas lamp post. Bordered by woods behind. Nice!!

Key facts

  • Replacing floors
  • Sold as-is
  • Materials to finish

Tags

REPLACING FLOORSMATERIALS TO FINISHSEWER CERTIFICATIONSOLD AS-ISDISCOVER THE POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level / one story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot; No pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heat; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Finished partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $407 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,133 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
11.49%
Cash-on-cash
18.57%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,989
List price
$58,900
Delta
5.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
426 Decker Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,318 (+8%) 8mo $65,720 $50 61
529 Harold Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,254 (+3%) 9mo $55,000 $44 60
394 Fairfield Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,323 (+9%) 8mo $65,000 $49 59
205 Sauers Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,236 (+2%) 13mo $139,500 $113 59
185 Glenn St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,372 (+13%) 8mo $69,000 $50 58
116 Blawn St 0.33mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,088 (-10%) 8mo $30,000 $28 54
640 Fairfield Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (-9%) 0mo $50,000 $45 53
575 Harold Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-6%) 8mo $35,000 $31 51
344 Decker Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,379 (+14%) 10mo $22,000 $16 49
109 Lancer Ct 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,072 (-12%) 9mo $82,500 $77 41
575 Duwell St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,098 (-10%) 13mo $127,000 $116 36
419 Beatrice Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,392 (+15%) 4mo $65,900 $47 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$6,751
Equity at exit
$8,782
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$26,982
Equity at exit
$5,093

Cash invested: $16,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,469/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $577
Max offer price $58,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,725
Closing costs
$1,767
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
459 Stone St Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $900 $0.80 24d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $58,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $58,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $58,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,900 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $58,900 Active 293-char remark
  17. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus $59,900 574-char remark
    Show marketing remark (574 chars)

    Very well cared for vinyl sided 4 Bedroom Ranch with awesome view!Nice plaster and hardwood flooring (some carpeted). Updated maple eat-in Kitchen includes range, over-stove microwave & refrigerator. Formal Dining Room & Spacious Living Room. Good closet space & nice size Bedrooms. Large Basement Rec Room, Laundry (includes washer & dryer), & Workshop. Boiler replaced in 2005, hot water tank in 2013. Covered front and side porches + Patio. 1 car Garage with automatic opener. Manicured yard w/ gas lamp post. Bordered by woods behind. Nice!!

  18. 2014-08-29
    soldstatus $59,900
    Show marketing remark (574 chars)

    Very well cared for vinyl sided 4 Bedroom Ranch with awesome view!Nice plaster and hardwood flooring (some carpeted). Updated maple eat-in Kitchen includes range, over-stove microwave & refrigerator. Formal Dining Room & Spacious Living Room. Good closet space & nice size Bedrooms. Large Basement Rec Room, Laundry (includes washer & dryer), & Workshop. Boiler replaced in 2005, hot water tank in 2013. Covered front and side porches + Patio. 1 car Garage with automatic opener. Manicured yard w/ gas lamp post. Bordered by woods behind. Nice!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,469 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,469 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,800
− Mortgage interest
−$3,299
− Property taxes
−$1,469
− Insurance
−$294
− Repairs & maintenance
−$864
− Management
−$864
− Depreciation
−$1,713
Taxable income
$2,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$551
After-tax cash flow
$2,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,791
Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $58,900 CSMLS
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $59,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,469 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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