17401 SE 39th St #7 · Vancouver, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED! Very cute home in the highly sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+), Fishers Landing area. New carpet & New roof 2024. Primary bedroom with Walk-in Shower. Nice sized, tree shaded private backyard facing city park. Space rent includes, water & sewer as well as use of Clubhouse with pool tables, exercise room, library & numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Seller lease rate of $950Mo. thru 10-31-26. Come take a look soon!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- New carpet
- Private backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fishers Landing Elementary School (462 students, 26% FRL); Shahala Middle School (874 students, 44% FRL); Mountain View High School (1,589 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 411 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 411 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.34%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,862
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -33.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17401 SE 39th St #203 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (+13%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $112 | 69 |
| 17401 SE 39th St #148 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,325 (+12%) | 18mo | $151,900 | $115 | 65 |
| 17401 SE 39th St #197 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+5%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $108 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $21,201
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $54,497
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98683
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $384/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $718 | -5% $689 | +0% $661 | +5% $633 | +10% $605 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $535 | -5% $598 | +0% $661 | +5% $724 | +10% $787 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $712 | -0.5pp $687 | base $661 | +0.5pp $635 | +1.0pp $609 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3100 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1040 | $2,208 | $2.12 | 0d | 13 | 0.54mi |
| 16506 SE 29th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,962 | $1.85 | 1d | 12 | 0.67mi |
| 16900 SE 26th Dr Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,926 | $1.85 | 4d | 5 | 0.74mi |
| 2610 SE 164th Ave Unit G12 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,265 | $2.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2404 SE 161st Ct Unit X182 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| Chase LNDG Gresham, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 15d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 16807 SE 19th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,800 | $2.12 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1600 SE 168th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $2,295 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2220 SE 192nd Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,979 | $2.19 | 0d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 3114 SE 147th Pl Vancouver, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1261 | $1,699 | $1.35 | 0d | 15 | 1.34mi |
| 5515 NW Pacific Rim Blvd Camas, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $3,999 | $3.57 | 0d | 18 | 1.40mi |
| 5988 NW 38th Ave Camas, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 922 | $2,461 | $2.67 | 0d | 13 | 1.42mi |
| 17775 SE Mill Plain Blvd Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 732 | $2,353 | $3.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $100,000 Active 411 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 410 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 407 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 406 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 405 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 391 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-02-26price $100,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! Very cute home in the highly sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+), Fishers Landing area. New carpet & New roof 2024. Primary bedroom with Walk-in Shower. Nice sized, tree shaded private backyard facing city park. Space rent includes, water & sewer as well as use of Clubhouse with pool tables, exercise room, library & numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Seller lease rate of $950Mo. thru 10-31-26. Come take a look soon!
-
2025-09-08price $119,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! Very cute home in the highly sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+), Fishers Landing area. New carpet & New roof 2024. Primary bedroom with Walk-in Shower. Nice sized, tree shaded private backyard facing city park. Space rent includes, water & sewer as well as use of Clubhouse with pool tables, exercise room, library & numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Seller lease rate of $950Mo. thru 10-31-26. Come take a look soon!
-
2025-08-04price $129,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! Very cute home in the highly sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+), Fishers Landing area. New carpet & New roof 2024. Primary bedroom with Walk-in Shower. Nice sized, tree shaded private backyard facing city park. Space rent includes, water & sewer as well as use of Clubhouse with pool tables, exercise room, library & numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Seller lease rate of $950Mo. thru 10-31-26. Come take a look soon!
-
2025-05-07$139,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! Very cute home in the highly sought after Vista Del Rio Mobil Home Park (55+), Fishers Landing area. New carpet & New roof 2024. Primary bedroom with Walk-in Shower. Nice sized, tree shaded private backyard facing city park. Space rent includes, water & sewer as well as use of Clubhouse with pool tables, exercise room, library & numerous community activities. Buyer may assume Seller lease rate of $950Mo. thru 10-31-26. Come take a look soon!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $384 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$596/yr (+$50/mo · 155.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$384
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,530
- − Management
- −$1,530
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $6,673
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen School District (Clark)
- NCES district ID
- 5302700
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,418
- Composite
- 42.53/100
- National rank
- #6859
- State rank
- #164 of 291 in WA
Livability — Vancouver
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vancouver, WA
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 360,195
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,107
- Household income
- $87,659
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1485.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Pacific Islander 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.47%
- Current HPI
- 296.9734
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.06%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-28.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $100,000 RMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $119,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $129,000 RMLS
- 2025-05-07 Listed $139,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $384 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…