Fourplex
1227 Holbrook Ter NE · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$925,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
2 UNITS ARE VACANT. 2 OCCUPIED. UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY TO BUY THIS 4-UNIT PROPERTY, OR BUY 1223 & 1227 HOLBROOK TER. NE TOGETHER FOR A PACKAGE OF $1.7 MIL AND HAVE A GREAT DEVELOPMENT!
Key facts
- 2,703 sq ft lot
- Built 1937
- Listed 116 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property has 4 total units (multifamily); Above-grade finished area reported as 3,164 (assessor)
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse / rowhouse structure; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units (multifamily property)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Assessor-provided living area and finished area measurements
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $925k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $393/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $925k).
- Recommended offer: $842k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 558 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,337/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($120k/yr) (locally 3854% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($842k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $925k implies a 760% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.29%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $857,444
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1719 West Virginia Ave NE | 0.21mi | 4/— | 3,100 (-2%) | 8mo | $840,000 | $271 | 80 |
| 1912 M St NE | 0.57mi | 4/4.0 | 3,246 (+3%) | 2mo | $825,000 | $254 | 67 |
| 1211 Simms Pl NE | 0.16mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 3,472 (+10%) | 5mo | $1,220,000 | $351 | 67 |
| 1217 Raum St NE | 0.11mi | 4/— | 3,395 (+7%) | 23mo | $699,000 | $206 | 64 |
| 1408 Holbrook St NE | 0.27mi | 4/— | 2,730 (-14%) | 8mo | $740,000 | $271 | 58 |
| 1601 Holbrook St NE | 0.26mi | 4/4.0 | 2,720 (-14%) | 8mo | $685,000 | $252 | 58 |
| 1500 Oates St NE | 0.30mi | 5/— (+1) | 3,602 (+14%) | 15mo | $885,000 | $246 | 45 |
| 1636 Lang Pl NE | 0.41mi | 5/— (+1) | 2,790 (-12%) | 15mo | $1,050,000 | $376 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-77,295
- Equity at exit
- $137,921
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-44,956
- Equity at exit
- $79,977
Cash invested: $259,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20002
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 558
- Price-to-rent
- 33.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,337 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,851
- Tax from tax record
- −$567 /mo · $6,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$385
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,961
- Net cashflow
- $1,573
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,097 | -5% $1,835 | +0% $1,573 | +5% $1,311 | +10% $1,049 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $835 | -5% $1,204 | +0% $1,573 | +5% $1,942 | +10% $2,311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,039 | -0.5pp $1,808 | base $1,573 | +0.5pp $1,333 | +1.0pp $1,089 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $9,336 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,334 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,334 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,334 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,334 |
| Total (4 units) | $9,337 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $231,250
- Closing costs
- $27,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1222 Owen Pl NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2164 | $3,800 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1255 Raum St NE Unit 1388282P Washington, DC | 2.0–8.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 3245 | $6,967 | $2.15 | 3d | 2 | 0.12mi |
| 1714 Montello Ave NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $4,350 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1609 Levis St NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2295 | $3,900 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1169 Morse St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2274 | $4,250 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1167 Morse St NE #1 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3409 | $8,500 | $2.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1117 Montello Ave NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2260 | $4,500 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1640 L St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $3,700 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1324 H St NE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2100 | $4,000 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 723 5th St NE Unit 630P Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3003 | $7,500 | $2.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 333 17th Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $3,400 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 137 R St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2515 | $3,550 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2104 4th St NE #1 Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2165 | $6,150 | $2.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 221 20th St NE Unit 4 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3360 | $2,999 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 301 V St NE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $5,650 | $1.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 504 Capitol Ct NE Unit 170373P Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2615 | $7,350 | $2.81 | 9d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1319 Massachusetts Ave SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2578 | $6,000 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13 S St NE Unit A Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2200 | $3,800 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13 S St NE Unit A Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2200 | $3,800 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1917 Lincoln Rd NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $4,500 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1821 N Capitol St NE #2 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2719 | $3,200 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 45 Rhode Island Ave NE Unit 1388280P Washington, DC | 2.0–6.0 | 2.0–6.0 | 10398 | $10,512 | $1.01 | 0d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 15 Seaton Pl NW #1 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2539 | $3,700 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 12 Rhode Island Ave NW Washington, DC | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3319 | $5,500 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 209 Douglas St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $3,000 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 17 U St NW Unit A Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2388 | $6,000 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2032 N Capitol St NW Unit 2 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3698 | $3,950 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2032 N Capitol St NW Unit 2 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3698 | $3,950 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1745 1st St NW Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2804 | $5,000 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2120 N Capitol St NW Washington, DC | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $5,500 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $925,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $925,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $925,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $925,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $925,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $925,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $925,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $925,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $925,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $925,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $925,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $925,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $925,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $925,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-02-25$925,000 Active
-
2019-09-03historical
-
2018-10-24$1,350,000 Active
-
2003-04-21soldstatus $107,500
-
2003-04-15soldstatus $146,590
-
1992-10-26soldstatus $102,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,805 · $567/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,805 · $567/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $112,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$51,814
- − Property taxes
- −$6,805
- − Insurance
- −$4,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,964
- − Management
- −$8,964
- − Depreciation
- −$26,909
- Taxable income
- $3,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,397
- Household income
- $120,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3854.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Black 40% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -852.61%
- Current HPI
- 396.6033
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.04%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+802.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listed $925,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-24 Listed $1,350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 2003-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $146,590 Public Records
- 1992-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,805 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…