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186 Thornapple Ln
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$229,900

186 Thornapple Ln · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1987 0.76 ac lot Est $185k · 24% over $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on . 76 acres in a serene wooded setting, this charming split-level home offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy all that the Poconos has to offer. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home boasts a spacious layout designed for both comfort and functionality. Cathedral ceilings enhance the main living space with an open, airy feel, while a wood-burning stove and an additional separate fireplace add warmth, charm, and character throughout. Whether you are looking for a primary residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment property, this home provides flexibility to fit a variety of needs. Surrounded by nature yet conveniently located near Great Wolf Lodge, shopping, dining, major roadways, and other sought-after Pocono attractions, this property combines privacy, convenience, and potential in one desirable package. Ask how to receive a lender credit towards closing cost or lowering your interest rate (subject to qualification).

Key facts

  • 0.76 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership
  • HOA & community: HOA fee $400 annually; fee covers road maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway with space for 4 vehicles; Total of 5 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Electric heating and hot water
  • Home design: Detached home; Above-grade and below-grade finished areas
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built in garage
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; Deck(s); Property managed (property manager present); Pets allowed with no restrictions; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Mud room; Deck(s); Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the lower floor; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($786/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clear Run El Ctr (717 students, 77% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Jhs (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #441 of 512 statewide, top 86%, 713 students, 75% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Hs (math 82% / reading 92%, grade A, #8 of 437 statewide, top 2%, 1,512 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 49% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $108k; list at $230k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $219,358 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.22%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,256
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3136 Carobeth Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,055 (+6%) 6mo $165,000 $156 62
4553 Briarcliff Ter 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,024 (+3%) 13mo $190,000 $186 59
3015 Briarwood Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,024 (+3%) 18mo $175,000 $171 56
3050 Briarwood Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 912 (-8%) 3mo $170,000 $186 56
112 Pin Oak Ln 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+4%) 1mo $205,000 $197 56
3223 Carobeth Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,037 (+4%) 6mo $210,000 $203 53
4569 Briarcliff Ter 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,110 (+11%) 1mo $169,000 $152 49
209 Greenbriar Cir 0.43mi 3/1.0 864 (-13%) 12mo $210,000 $243 44
710 Edgewood Rd 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (+10%) 1mo $219,000 $201 42
4562 Briarcliff Ter 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+9%) 23mo $265,000 $244 36
2117 Larkspur Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-13%) 8mo $158,000 $183 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$24,215
Equity at exit
$95,148
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$90,380
Equity at exit
$140,535

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,194 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$333 /mo · $3,997/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,111
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Nestled on . 76 acres in a serene wooded setting, this charming split-level home offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy all that the Poconos has to offer. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home boasts a spacious layout designed for both comfort and functionality. Cathedral ceilings enhance the main living space with an open, airy feel, while a wood-burning stove and an additional separate fireplace add warmth, charm, and character throughout. Whether you are looking for a primary residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment property, this home provides flexibility to fit a variety of needs. Surrounded by nature yet conveniently located near Great Wolf Lodge, shopping, dining, major roadways, and other sought-after Pocono attractions, this property combines privacy, convenience, and potential in one desirable package. Ask how to receive a lender credit towards closing cost or lowering your interest rate (subject to qualification).

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Nestled on . 76 acres in a serene wooded setting, this charming split-level home offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy all that the Poconos has to offer. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home boasts a spacious layout designed for both comfort and functionality. Cathedral ceilings enhance the main living space with an open, airy feel, while a wood-burning stove and an additional separate fireplace add warmth, charm, and character throughout. Whether you are looking for a primary residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment property, this home provides flexibility to fit a variety of needs. Surrounded by nature yet conveniently located near Great Wolf Lodge, shopping, dining, major roadways, and other sought-after Pocono attractions, this property combines privacy, convenience, and potential in one desirable package. Ask how to receive a lender credit towards closing cost or lowering your interest rate (subject to qualification).

  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $229,900 Active 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Nestled on . 76 acres in a serene wooded setting, this charming split-level home offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy all that the Poconos has to offer. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home boasts a spacious layout designed for both comfort and functionality. Cathedral ceilings enhance the main living space with an open, airy feel, while a wood-burning stove and an additional separate fireplace add warmth, charm, and character throughout. Whether you are looking for a primary residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment property, this home provides flexibility to fit a variety of needs. Surrounded by nature yet conveniently located near Great Wolf Lodge, shopping, dining, major roadways, and other sought-after Pocono attractions, this property combines privacy, convenience, and potential in one desirable package. Ask how to receive a lender credit towards closing cost or lowering your interest rate (subject to qualification).

  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $229,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Nestled on . 76 acres in a serene wooded setting, this charming split-level home offers the perfect opportunity to enjoy all that the Poconos has to offer. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home boasts a spacious layout designed for both comfort and functionality. Cathedral ceilings enhance the main living space with an open, airy feel, while a wood-burning stove and an additional separate fireplace add warmth, charm, and character throughout. Whether you are looking for a primary residence, a weekend retreat, or an investment property, this home provides flexibility to fit a variety of needs. Surrounded by nature yet conveniently located near Great Wolf Lodge, shopping, dining, major roadways, and other sought-after Pocono attractions, this property combines privacy, convenience, and potential in one desirable package. Ask how to receive a lender credit towards closing cost or lowering your interest rate (subject to qualification).

  5. 2026-04-08
    historical $229,900
  6. 2001-02-20
    soldstatus $108,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,997 · $333/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,997 · $333/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,323
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$3,997
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,106
− Management
−$2,106
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$2,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$719
After-tax cash flow
$1,505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $229,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,997 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…