866 S Lake Dr · East Dublin, GA 31027

$90,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 54 Days on market

Built 1990 0.40 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.2/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Lakefront Opportunity7 with Endless Potential! This 2 bedroom, 2 full bath single-wide is perfectly situated on a beautiful lake lot, offering peaceful water views and a serene setting that's hard to find. It presents an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators or buyers looking to create their own lakeside retreat. Enjoy the natural beauty of the property with plenty of space to relax, fish or take in the views from your own backyard. With a little vision and effort, this could be transformed into the perfect getaway or income-producing property. Don't miss your chance to own a waterfront lot at an affordable price. Opportunities like this don't come around often!

Key facts

• Peaceful water views
• Waterfront lot
• 0.4 acre lot

Tags

• LAKEFRONT OPPORTUNITY
• PEACEFUL WATER VIEWS
• WATERFRONT LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.6% in East Dublin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#326 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Laurens County (rural): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #42 of 174 in GA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Southwest Laurens Elementary (math 50% / reading 37%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 1,005 students, 85% FRL); West Laurens Middle School (math 48% / reading 48%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 927 students, 85% FRL); West Laurens High School (math 41% / reading 28%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,271 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Laurens County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Laurens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.98%
• DSCR: 1.67
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.21×
• Total profit: $5,416
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.21×
• Total profit: $30,383
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31027

• Home prices YoY: -7.6%
• Active inventory: 32
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,088 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$36 /mo · $431/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $314

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $365	-5% $340	+0% $314	+5% $289	+10% $264
Rent	-10% $229	-5% $271	+0% $314	+5% $357	+10% $400
Rate	-1.0pp $360	-0.5pp $337	base $314	+0.5pp $291	+1.0pp $267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-07
   days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
6. 2026-05-30
   days on market $90,000 Active 47 DOM
7. 2026-04-13
   listed $90,000 New 689-char remark

   Show marketing remark (689 chars)

   Lakefront Opportunity7 with Endless Potential! This 2 bedroom, 2 full bath single-wide is perfectly situated on a beautiful lake lot, offering peaceful water views and a serene setting that's hard to find. It presents an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators or buyers looking to create their own lakeside retreat. Enjoy the natural beauty of the property with plenty of space to relax, fish or take in the views from your own backyard. With a little vision and effort, this could be transformed into the perfect getaway or income-producing property. Don't miss your chance to own a waterfront lot at an affordable price. Opportunities like this don't come around often!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $431 · $36/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $828 · $69/mo
• Expected delta: +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 92.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,061
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$431
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,045
• − Management: −$1,045
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,431
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$583
• After-tax cash flow: $3,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Laurens County
• NCES district ID: 1301890
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $38,220
• Composite: 35.06/100
• National rank: #5030
• State rank: #42 of 174 in GA

Livability — East Dublin

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #326
• US rank: #17266

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,879

Population outlook (Laurens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 45,685 people
• By 2030: 44,056 · -3.6%
• By 2040: 40,270 · -11.9%
• By 2050: 36,094 · -21.0%
• By 2075: 26,275 · -42.5%
• By 2100: 17,160 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurens

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.5% · R 66.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -32.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+28.2 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -16.67%
• Current HPI: 202.153
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Listed $90,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $431 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.