662 Happyville Rd · Greensburg, KY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$101,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home is located three quarters of a mile away from the golf course and Country Club in Greensburg Kentucky it sets in between Highway 88 and 61
Key facts
- Built 1984
- Listed 36 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $101k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#146 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Green County (rural): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #30 of 165 in KY (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($698 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Green County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.81%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $33,771
- Equity at exit
- $57,235
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $93,050
- Equity at exit
- $98,781
Cash invested: $28,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42743
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,067 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$530
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,250
- Closing costs
- $3,030
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $101,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $101,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $101,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $101,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $101,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $101,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $101,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $101,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $101,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $101,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $101,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $101,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $101,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$101,000 Active 148-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $869 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$391/yr (+$33/mo · 81.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,658
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$1,302
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$2,938
- Taxable income
- $376
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$90
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Green County
- NCES district ID
- 2102340
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,616
- Composite
- 33.94/100
- National rank
- #5332
- State rank
- #30 of 165 in KY
Livability — Greensburg
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #6845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,008
Population outlook (Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,576 people
- By 2030
- 10,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 9,263 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 8,189 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 5,849 · -44.7%
- By 2100
- 3,833 · -63.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.3% · R 85.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.8pp · 2024: -72.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.6 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.00%
- Current HPI
- 265.9882
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $101,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +56.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…