Duplex
422 4th Ave · Troy, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Renovated bathrooms
- Double lot
- Refinished hardwoods
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Multifamily property with 2 total units; Tenants pay heat, internet, cable TV, electricity, and gas
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Stone foundation; Shingle (asphalt) roof
- Exterior features: Side porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Total 3 bathrooms (2 full, 1 half); Full baths located on 1st and 2nd levels; half bath on 1st level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Partial, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2.0bd/1.5ba + 1×1.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $821 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $411/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Turnpike Elementary School (534 students, 61% FRL); Knickerbacker Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #601 of 729 statewide, top 82%, 471 students, 75% FRL); Lansingburgh Senior High School (math 92%, 638 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $200k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.79%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,547
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -36.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 110th St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,026 (-5%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $101 | 77 |
| 39 111th St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (-9%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $103 | 69 |
| 428 6th Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,228 (+5%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $67 | 66 |
| 623 5th Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+4%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $57 | 55 |
| 496 3rd Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,880 (-12%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $59 | 52 |
| 76 3rd St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,144 (+1%) | 11mo | $236,000 | $110 | 50 |
| 69 Heartt Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+8%) | 3mo | $278,000 | $121 | 48 |
| 206 7th Ave | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,172 (+2%) | 19mo | $287,900 | $133 | 45 |
| 617-619 1st Ave | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (-5%) | 17mo | $267,500 | $133 | 44 |
| 669 6th Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,884 (-11%) | 8mo | $102,000 | $54 | 40 |
| 105 Hudson Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,980 (-7%) | 14mo | $282,500 | $143 | 36 |
| 46 Continental Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,832 (-14%) | 12mo | $242,000 | $132 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $20,148
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $85,875
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,192 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$513 /mo · $6,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$670
- Net cashflow
- $821
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $934 | -5% $878 | +0% $821 | +5% $765 | +10% $708 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $695 | +0% $821 | +5% $947 | +10% $1,073 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $922 | -0.5pp $872 | base $821 | +0.5pp $769 | +1.0pp $717 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,611 |
| 1× unit | 1.0 | 1 | $1,581 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,192 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 53 Park Ave Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1875 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 100 Waters View Cir Cohoes, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1281 | $2,413 | $1.88 | 16d | 13 | 0.69mi |
| 131 6th Ave Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,325 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,711 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 192 Saratoga St Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1157 | $2,600 | $2.25 | 16d | 4 | 1.11mi |
| 12 White St Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $2,895 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11 Parker Ln Unit 5 Waterford, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-13$199,900 Active 1099-char remark
-
2021-02-11soldstatus $108,150
-
2021-01-29soldstatus $108,150 Closed (Final Sale) 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2020-11-12status Pend (Under Cntr) 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2020-11-05price $115,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2020-11-04status Price Change 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2020-10-29status Pend (Under Cntr) 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2020-10-12$119,900 New 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Well maintained two family home on a quiet street. First floor unit offers 2 bedrooms with 1 1/2 baths, living, dining, and kitchen. This unit has its own master suite! Brand New Boiler for the 1st floor unit!! Second floor offers a 1 bedroom unit with an office, a craft room, living, dining, and kitchen. Long term tenants who would like to stay. In-unit laundry hook-ups for both rentals. Great, well manicured yard, and a 2 car garage! Perfect for an owner occupant or an investor. Estate, Sold AS IS. Virtual walk-through of first floor here! https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=Mno2HXCodQ4&brand=0 -- Very Good Condition
-
2007-01-03soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,162 · $513/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,162 · $513/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$6,162
- − Insurance
- −$1,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,064
- − Management
- −$3,064
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $7,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,760
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+166.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $199,900 Global MLS
- 2021-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $108,150 Public Records
- 2021-01-29 Sold (MLS) $108,150 Global MLS
- 2020-11-12 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-11-05 Price Changed $115,000 Global MLS
- 2020-11-04 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2020-10-29 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-10-12 Listed $119,900 Global MLS
- 2007-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+21.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,162 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…