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624 Bryce Dr
D+ Composite 48.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

624 Bryce Dr · Colorado Springs, CO 80910
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,724 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1961 6,890 sqft lot Est $347k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on this opportunity in Pikes Peak Park! This fully-finished tri-level boasts a low-maintenance lot, loaded with xeriscaping and is fully-fenced in front and back. There is ample off-street parking that even leads to the back yard, if needed, but protected by a full gate for security. The flooring throughout is primarily a mix of real hardwood and LVP. A large wood-burning fireplace graces the main-level living room, perfect for those chilly Colorado evenings. Quite a few updates have already been completed and this home awaits your final touches, so definitely come see it today!

Key facts

  • Low-maintenance lot
  • Updates completed
  • Xeriscaping

Tags

LOW-MAINTENANCE LOTXERISCAPINGFULLY-FENCEDAMPLE OFF-STREET PARKINGLARGE WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEUPDATES COMPLETED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing available: Cash, Conventional, FHA 203(k)
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single family home
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Aluminum/vinyl/steel siding; Composite shingle roof; Slab foundation; Existing home
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Central air; Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($979/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $222,796 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.25%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,524
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
604 Bryce Dr 0.06mi 4/3.0 1,599 (-7%) 4mo $310,000 $194 78
425 Placid Rd 0.19mi 4/2.0 1,785 (+4%) 12mo $380,000 $213 75
810 Hutchinson Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,577 (-8%) 6mo $355,000 $225 70
823 Sequoia Dr 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,599 (-7%) 11mo $397,000 $248 70
931 Hayden Dr 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,577 (-8%) 6mo $299,900 $190 67
524 Winnepeg Dr 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,920 (+11%) 10mo $289,000 $151 61
3231 Michigan Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,821 (+6%) 2mo $360,000 $198 59
1223 Royale Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 1,791 (+4%) 2mo $257,385 $144 58
1115 Rainier Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,596 (-7%) 7mo $321,000 $201 52
1123 Royale Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,508 (-12%) 2mo $320,000 $212 44
321 Kenady Cir 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,922 (+12%) 8mo $369,000 $192 41
1206 Yosemite Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,465 (-15%) 8mo $315,000 $215 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-46,814
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-59,810
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80910

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,228 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,129/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,125
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
827 Sequoia Dr Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 2.0 1694 $2,700 $1.59 3d 1 0.24mi
2902 Airport Rd Colorado Springs, CO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1202 $1,900 $1.58 3d 2 0.42mi
2205 Willow Tree Grv Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $2,170 $2.25 3d 21 0.44mi
3005 E Fountain Blvd Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.5 1950 $2,000 $1.03 14d 1 0.71mi
3106 Gomer Ave Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,895 $1.63 14d 1 0.77mi
106 Balfour Ave Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 1391 $2,000 $1.44 23d 1 0.79mi
2528 Gilpin Ave Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.0 1666 $2,229 $1.34 2d 1 0.93mi
3125 E Fountain Blvd Colorado Springs, CO 2.0–3.0 1.5 1650 $1,875 $1.14 2d 7 0.94mi
2153 Gilpin Ave Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,200 $1.45 2d 1 0.96mi
1819 E Bijou St Colorado Springs, CO 5.0 2.0 1850 $1,950 $1.05 23d 1 1.04mi
3591 Indigo Ridge Pt Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 2.0 2040 $2,195 $1.08 3d 1 1.05mi
1842 Springs Vista St Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,243 $1.40 23d 1 1.18mi
213 Audubon Dr Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 3.0 2157 $2,325 $1.08 23d 1 1.22mi
70 Audubon Dr Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.0 1189 $2,000 $1.68 23d 1 1.25mi
2138 Phillips Aly Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.5 1602 $2,072 $1.29 14d 1 1.26mi
2874 Carmel Cir Colorado Springs, CO 4.0 1.0 1117 $1,995 $1.79 2d 1 1.35mi
2335 CoralBell Grv Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $2,498 $2.50 23d 34 1.35mi
2335 CoralBell Grv Colorado Springs, CO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $2,195 $2.19 2d 7 1.35mi
2115 Birmingham Loop Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $2,382 $2.58 2d 24 1.36mi
1953 Birmingham Loop Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 2.0 1692 $2,500 $1.48 11d 1 1.41mi
1518 Tyram Grv Unit 102 Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 3.0 1552 $2,195 $1.41 2d 1 1.48mi
2046 Del Mar Dr Colorado Springs, CO 5.0 2.0 1824 $2,500 $1.37 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,900 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,900 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,900 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $279,900 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,900 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,900 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,900 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,900 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $289,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 65 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 64 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $289,900
  17. 2026-03-28
    listed $309,900 Active
  18. 2025-03-28
    historical
  19. 2025-03-28
    historical
  20. 2025-01-30
    listed $330,000 Active
  21. 2025-01-30
    listed $330,000 Active
  22. 2023-09-15
    historical
  23. 2023-09-15
    historical
  24. 2023-08-20
    price $340,000
  25. 2023-08-20
    price $340,000
  26. 2023-08-20
    price $340,000
  27. 2023-08-05
    price $355,000
  28. 2023-08-05
    price $355,000
  29. 2023-08-05
    price $355,000
  30. 2023-07-22
    listed $365,000 Active
  31. 2023-07-22
    listed $365,000 Active
  32. 2021-07-08
    soldstatus $321,000
  33. 2018-10-02
    soldstatus $225,000
  34. 1967-07-01
    soldstatus $13,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,129 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,539 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$411/yr (+$34/mo · 36.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,736
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,129
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,139
− Management
−$2,139
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable loss
−$3,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$934
After-tax cash flow
$1,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E
NCES district ID
0803060
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,884
Composite
24.69/100
National rank
#7613
State rank
#56 of 86 in CO

Livability — Colorado Springs

Score
78/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#2639

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colorado Springs, CO
County
El Paso County · 689,348 people
City population
555,783
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
Population (ZIP)
31,368
Household income
$61,969
Rent vs Own
52.8% rent · 47.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
768,926 people
By 2030
815,739 · +6.1%
By 2040
903,489 · +17.5%
By 2050
981,204 · +27.6%
By 2075
1,155,542 · +50.3%
By 2100
1,202,070 · +56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Native American 3% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.36%
Current HPI
320.6817
Rent YoY
▼ -1.51%
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2000.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $289,900 elevateMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $309,900 elevateMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Listing Removed REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-28 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $330,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $330,000 IRES
  • 2023-09-15 Listing Removed REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-15 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2023-08-20 Price Changed $340,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-08-20 Price Changed $340,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-20 Price Changed $340,000 IRES
  • 2023-08-05 Price Changed $355,000 elevateMLS
  • 2023-08-05 Price Changed $355,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-05 Price Changed $355,000 IRES
  • 2023-07-22 Listed $365,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-22 Listed $365,000 IRES
  • 2021-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $321,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 1967-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,129 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…