551 Carlysle Dr #2 · Clarendon Hills, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Extra storage space
- Updated baths
- Corner end condo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 16 units in the building; Living area source: Assessor; Directions: 55th St to Holmes, south to Carlysle, right to building; parking #902
- Financial info: Special Service Area: No
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $415; Association fee includes heat, water, gas, parking, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash removal, and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with size limit; maximum pet weight 35 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Two assigned parking spaces; Additional/other parking arrangements
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer and storm sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Attached single-unit condo; Entry at level 1; Condo ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Building is approximately 61–70 years old; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common lot/grounds; Lake Michigan water source; Public and storm sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level) — 12 x 9
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — 15 x 11, with half bath; Second bedroom (main level) — 11 x 10; Two additional bedrooms (total 2 listed as bedrooms possible)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (in master bedroom)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Living room (main level) — 23 x 13; Family room; Dining room (main level) — 9 x 9
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $196k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
- Recommended offer: $190k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 0.7% in Clarendon Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#48 in IL, #978 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Hinsdale Twp Hsd 86 (suburban): math 62% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #17 of 620 in IL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,378 units permitted in DuPage County in 2024 (594 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 131% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $196k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.81%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-20,407
- Equity at exit
- $29,209
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,465
- Equity at exit
- $16,938
Cash invested: $54,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60514
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,027
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,611/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$466
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,975
- Closing costs
- $5,877
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 58th St Clarendon Hills, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,935 | $2.15 | 2d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 16W651 56th St Unit 1 Clarendon Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 16W780 57th St Unit A Clarendon Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6060 Laurel Ln Willowbrook, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,625 | $3.20 | 1d | 58 | 0.33mi |
| 6340 Americana Dr #817 Willowbrook, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6340 Americana Dr Willowbrook, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,150 | $2.03 | 5d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 229 Park Ave Clarendon Hills, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1111 | $3,875 | $3.49 | 3d | 8 | 0.83mi |
| 143 Ann St Unit 3N Clarendon Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,800 | $3.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 204 Racquet Club Ct Hinsdale, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 6d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15 W 56th St Westmont, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,850 | $2.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $466 · $5,592/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $195,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $195,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $195,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $195,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $195,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $195,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $195,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $195,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $195,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $195,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $195,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $195,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $195,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-02-25historical
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2026-02-13price
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2025-11-04Active
-
2015-06-29soldstatus $53,333
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2015-06-19soldstatus $80,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2015-05-15historical Contingent 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2015-05-05$84,900 New 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2008-04-15historical
-
2007-12-03
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,611 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,029 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,418/yr (+$118/mo · 88.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,973
- − Property taxes
- −$1,611
- − Insurance
- −$980
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,288
- − Management
- −$2,288
- − HOA
- −$5,592
- − Depreciation
- −$5,699
- Taxable loss
- −$826
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hinsdale Twp Hsd 86
- NCES district ID
- 1719320
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $118,692
- Composite
- 60.13/100
- National rank
- #868
- State rank
- #17 of 620 in IL
Livability — Clarendon Hills
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarendon Hills, IL
- County
- DuPage County · 904,569 people
- City population
- 9,918
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,918
- Household income
- $118,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 248.0
Population outlook (DuPage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 960,187 people
- By 2030
- 965,850 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 965,812 · +0.6%
- By 2050
- 954,890 · -0.6%
- By 2075
- 910,185 · -5.2%
- By 2100
- 816,255 · -15.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Asian 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · DuPage
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.3) · D 55.9% · R 42.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 10.8pp · 2024: 13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.3 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -330.36%
- Current HPI
- 207.7712
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-37.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,333 Public Records
- 2015-06-19 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-05 Listed $84,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,611 · -17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…