3128 S Congress Rd · Camden, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 40.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity ready for you in Camden with potential for great cash flow. Cash / private financing only. Home being sold as is, where is, any and all inspections are the responsibility of the buyer. Buyer responsible for all closing costs including transfer tax.
Key facts
- Built 1918
- Listed 50 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morgan Village Middle School (244 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $155k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,417
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1535 Minnesota Rd | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-7%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $84 | 81 |
| 1433 N Chesapeake Rd | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (+8%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $186 | 72 |
| 128 Bellevue Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 964 (-1%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $296 | 71 |
| 17 Barlow Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 964 (-1%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 114 Harvard Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+1%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $214 | 59 |
| 2894 Tuckahoe Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+3%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $99 | 52 |
| 61 Kendall Blvd | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-11%) | 14mo | $380,000 | $438 | 50 |
| 42 Oxford Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-0%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $227 | 50 |
| 130 Yale Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+10%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $247 | 44 |
| 119 Reading Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,048 (+8%) | 17mo | $265,000 | $253 | 39 |
| 304 Marlborough Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+12%) | 13mo | $385,000 | $353 | 34 |
| 321 Linden Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+12%) | 9mo | $219,000 | $201 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-16,521
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,283
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08104
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,127/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $223 | -5% $179 | +0% $135 | +5% $91 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $75 | +0% $135 | +5% $194 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $174 | base $135 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 02-3223 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,085 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 16-1586 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,085 | $1.67 | 26d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 03-3220 Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 26d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 08-1585 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1612 Independence Rd Camden, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,350 | $2.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1220 Grant Ave Unit 2 Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3081 Alabama Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,650 | $2.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3079 Alabama Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,700 | $2.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2892 N Constitution Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1034 Collings Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1025 Collings Ave Apt 1 Oaklyn, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,488 | $1.86 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 301 Champion Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $1,770 | $2.68 | 6d | 3 | 0.51mi |
| 1021 Monitor Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,710 | $1.69 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2829 Idaho Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3136 Tuckahoe Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 716 Richey Ave Unit 2ND FLOOR Oaklyn, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 430 Richey Ave Unit 1A Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $2,100 | $2.34 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 145 Cooper Ave Unit 1N Woodlynne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 141 Cooper Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 700 W Browning Rd Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,867 | $2.79 | 0d | 45 | 0.95mi |
| 196 White Horse Pike Collingswood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,488 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5 Meadow Ln Gloucester City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,385 | $2.86 | 26d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 2 W Oakland Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2 W Oakland Ave Unit 11 Oaklyn, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2 W Oakland Ave Unit 11 Oaklyn, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 26 E Collingswood Ave Haddon Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 26 E Collingswood Ave Haddon Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 334 Middlesex St Gloucester City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 116 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $1,525 | $2.50 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 116 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $1,525 | $2.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 225 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $3,372 | $2.76 | 0d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| 697 Ferry Ave Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,120 | $1.60 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-02-23$155,000 Active
-
2022-09-05soldstatus $56,500 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Great investment opportunity ready for you in Camden with potential for great cash flow. Cash / private financing only. Home being sold as is, where is, any and all inspections are the responsibility of the buyer. Buyer responsible for all closing costs including transfer tax.
-
2022-09-05$65,000 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Great investment opportunity ready for you in Camden with potential for great cash flow. Cash / private financing only. Home being sold as is, where is, any and all inspections are the responsibility of the buyer. Buyer responsible for all closing costs including transfer tax.
-
2022-08-26soldstatus $56,500
-
2022-07-26status Pending
-
2022-07-25historical
-
2022-07-08$65,000 Active
-
2022-04-22historical
-
2022-04-08$85,000 Active
-
2018-12-14soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2018-11-16status Pending
-
2018-11-08status Active
-
2018-10-24status Pending
-
2018-08-06price $29,900
-
2018-05-03$34,900 Active
-
2002-03-20soldstatus $46,900
-
2002-02-10historical
-
2000-07-27$44,900
-
2000-05-30historical
-
1999-07-16$49,900
-
1994-08-09soldstatus $47,900
-
1980-06-01soldstatus $21,000
-
1979-01-01soldstatus $16,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,127 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,993 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- +$866/yr (+$72/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,127
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$917
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402640
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,845
- Composite
- 6.85/100
- National rank
- #9981
- State rank
- #472 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #7721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, NJ
- City population
- 20,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,508
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 9% White 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.43%
- Current HPI
- 209.3596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+822.6% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-05 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-05 Sold (MLS) $56,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2022-07-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-08 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-08 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-14 Sold (MLS) $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-08 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-08-06 Price Changed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-05-03 Listed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
- 2002-02-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-07-27 Listed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-05-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-07-16 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
- 1980-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1979-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,127 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…