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78 Montgomery St
F Composite 26.65
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$229,900

78 Montgomery St · Montgomery, PA 17752
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2013 8,276 sqft lot Est $157k · 46% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect balance of contemporary design and effortless living in this beautiful 2-story home. Built in 2013, this property offers a fresh, ''move-in-ready'' feel within the Montgomery School District. The heart of the home is an expansive open-concept main floor, where a stunning natural wood breakfast bar serves as the centerpiece and provides seamless flow from the kitchen to the dining and living areas. The finished lower level is a true ''multihyphenate'' space--perfectly suited for a cozy family media room, a dedicated home office, or guest quarters. 2nd Floor laundry, 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Enjoy the convenience of off-street parking and a central Boro location that put

Key facts

  • Off-street parking
  • Finished lower level
  • 8,276 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN FLOORNATURAL WOOD BREAKFAST BARFINISHED LOWER LEVELDEDICATED HOME OFFICEOFF-STREET PARKINGCENTRAL BORO LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking on gravel; No designated garage
  • Utilities: Public water; 200+ amp electrical service
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built area includes finished above- and below-grade space
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level to sloped lot with steep slope areas

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: Upper level laundry (bedroom count not provided)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Bar; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet(s); Full basement with exterior entry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-469 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (36.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (39.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (39.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#727 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Montgomery Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #180 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $140,119 (39.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
3.85%
Cash-on-cash
-8.74%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,248
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47 N Main St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,448 (-0%) 4mo $97,500 $67 84
65 E Houston Ave 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,632 (+12%) 5mo $176,000 $108 72
82 Broad St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-12%) 2mo $134,000 $105 71
54 Broad St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 12mo $165,000 $123 70
200 Eagle Ln 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,500 (+3%) 4mo $189,900 $127 60
48 Old Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,492 (+2%) 13mo $160,000 $107 60
1934 Pinchtown Rd 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,456 (0%) 18mo $131,000 $90 57
20 Brook St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 20mo $135,000 $100 57
15 Brook St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,326 (-9%) 23mo $153,000 $115 51
130 W Houston Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,513 (+4%) 19mo $207,500 $137 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$8,095
Equity at exit
$114,260
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$58,481
Equity at exit
$185,069

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17752

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,290/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,994
Max offer price $147,115
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69 Broad St Montgomery, PA 3.0 1.5 1448 $1,665 $1.15 14d 1 0.11mi
56 Penn St Unit 58 Montgomery, PA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,195 $1.12 43d 1 0.18mi
25 N Main St Montgomery, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $865 $0.72 14d 1 0.29mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-09
    listed $229,900 Active
  3. 2025-10-20
    price $215,000
  4. 2022-04-18
    soldstatus $170,000
  5. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus
  6. 2022-03-05
    listed $144,900
  7. 2020-10-01
    soldstatus $128,000
  8. 2018-03-08
    listed $139,900
  9. 2014-06-20
    soldstatus $132,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,290 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,461 · $288/mo
Expected delta
+$171/yr (+$14/mo · 5.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,814
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$3,290
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$9,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,372
After-tax cash flow
$-3,252/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery Area SD
NCES district ID
4215660
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$49,345
Composite
42.69/100
National rank
#3172
State rank
#180 of 539 in PA

Livability — Montgomery

Score
71/100
State rank
#727
US rank
#7279

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,867

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.83%
Current HPI
241.8799
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending WBVAR
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $229,900 WBVAR
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $215,000 WBVAR
  • 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2022-03-05 Listed $144,900 WBVAR
  • 2020-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-08 Listed $139,900 CSVBR
  • 2014-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $132,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,290 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…