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16 Convent Rd
C- Composite 51.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$254,900

16 Convent Rd · Chester Heights, PA 19014
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,322 sqft · Townhouse public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1900 3,049 sqft lot $193/sqft · at area comps Est $264k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 16 Convent Rd in Aston — a charming and thoughtfully updated home offering comfort, convenience, and plenty of functional living space. Featuring brand new flooring throughout and a newly finished third floor, this home provides flexible space such as bedroom, office, playroom, or bonus area. The main level offers the ease of first-floor laundry, an inviting eat-in kitchen, and a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy the fenced-in backyard, ideal for entertaining, pets, or relaxing evenings at home. The property also includes two-car driveway parking conveniently located in the rear of the home, right next to the walking trail for easy outd

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Fenced-in backyard
  • First-floor laundry

Tags

NEW FLOORINGNEWLY FINISHED THIRD FLOORFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYFENCED-IN BACKYARDTWO-CAR DRIVEWAY PARKINGNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached home
  • Construction: Shingle siding; Asbestos siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Shed; Lot approximately 25 x 122

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level; Master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living room; Dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in Chester Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#994 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn-Delco SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #174 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $255k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,602 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.94%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,096
List price
$254,900
Delta
-3.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 New Rd 0.17mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,358 (+3%) 11mo $185,000 $136 71
18 New Rd 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,178 (-11%) 12mo $230,000 $195 59
440 Derry Dr #440 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,434 (+8%) 6mo $270,000 $188 46
374 Derry Dr #374 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,434 (+8%) 13mo $279,000 $195 42
129 Knollwood Ct 0.72mi 2/2.5 1,415 (+7%) 8mo $380,000 $269 42
408 Derry Dr #408 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,406 (+6%) 18mo $269,900 $192 38
366 Cashel Ct #366 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,184 (-10%) 18mo $250,000 $211 36
161 Nottingham Ct 0.67mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,400 (+6%) 20mo $350,000 $250 32
162 Nottingham Ct 0.66mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,504 (+14%) 12mo $348,000 $231 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-22,688
Equity at exit
$38,006
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,913
Equity at exit
$22,039

Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19014

Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,306 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,934
Max offer price $254,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,725
Closing costs
$7,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
275 Glen Riddle Rd Apt I31 Media, PA 2.0 2.0 999 $2,350 $2.35 43d 1 0.52mi
274 Glen Riddle Rd Unit C203 Media, PA 2.0 1.0 880 $2,160 $2.45 43d 1 0.55mi
117 Woodcrest Ave Aston, PA 3.0 2.0 1536 $2,750 $1.79 19d 1 0.89mi
25 Abel Pl Media, PA 2.0 1.5 1331 $3,200 $2.40 2d 1 1.11mi
4040 Concord Rd Aston Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 1d 1 1.36mi
317 Mount Alverno Rd Media, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $254,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $254,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $254,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $254,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $254,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $254,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $254,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $254,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $254,900 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $254,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $254,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $259,900 Active 915-char remark
  16. 2009-12-30
    historical
  17. 2009-03-06
    listed $60,000
  18. 2008-08-14
    historical
  19. 2008-04-10
    historical
  20. 2008-04-09
    listed $149,900
  21. 2007-07-25
    listed $159,900
  22. 2003-04-22
    soldstatus $96,000
  23. 2003-04-17
    soldstatus $96,000
  24. 2003-03-03
    historical
  25. 2003-02-05
    listed $96,000
  26. 1994-09-08
    soldstatus $72,500
  27. 1994-08-26
    soldstatus $72,500
  28. 1994-07-06
    historical
  29. 1994-03-17
    listed $72,500
  30. 1986-06-16
    soldstatus $46,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,523 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$1,505/yr (+$125/mo · 147.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,672
− Mortgage interest
−$14,278
− Property taxes
−$1,018
− Insurance
−$1,274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,214
− Management
−$2,214
− Depreciation
−$7,415
Taxable loss
−$741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$178
After-tax cash flow
$3,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn-Delco SD
NCES district ID
4218580
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$71,673
Composite
43.11/100
National rank
#3083
State rank
#174 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chester Heights

Score
67/100
State rank
#994
US rank
#10966

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
City population
297
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
21,427
Household income
$96,781
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
276.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 9% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -260.34%
Current HPI
262.8409
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+443.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $254,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-03-06 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-08-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-04-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-04-09 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-07-25 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-17 Sold (MLS) $96,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-03-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-02-05 Listed $96,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 1994-08-26 Sold (MLS) $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-07-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-03-17 Listed $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,018 · -76.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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