964 Winter Garden Dr · Shreveport, LA 71107

$129,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 839 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1984

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to a thoughtfully reimagined 2 bedroom and 1 1/2 bath townhouse. Set in a quaint fenced in property, presented by this amateur designer enthusiast. She has taken what was just a house and turned it into a home for someone who is ready to downsize or just to relax without the hassle of yard work and maintenance. The HOA cover that, as well as, water and the trim around the unit. The unit includes 2 designated parking spaces as well as spaces for visitors. Have peace of minds knowing that the undated unit includes, but not limited to: Roof in 2021, HVAC in 2019, Windows in 2019 and 2024, and as well as the patio siding door, all the stainless steel appliances were updated when the hom

Key facts

• Updated windows
• Fenced in property
• Updated roof

Tags

• FENCED IN PROPERTY
• DESIGNATED PARKING SPACES
• UPDATED ROOF
• UPDATED HVAC
• UPDATED WINDOWS
• UPDATED PATIO SIDING DOOR

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 1984
• Construction: Living area approximately 1108
• Exterior features: Located in the Freestate neighborhood of North Highlands

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($624/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (15.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $110k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: North Highlands Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #359 of 646 statewide, top 57%, 354 students, 75% FRL); Donnie Bickham Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #167 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 907 students, 61% FRL); Northwood High School (math 14% / reading 35%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 1,068 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $110,132 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.77%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.72%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.51×
• Total profit: $-17,770
• Equity at exit: $19,369

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-11,341
• Equity at exit: $11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71107

• Home prices YoY: -34.5%
• Active inventory: 260
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,101 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax from tax record: −$83 /mo · $993/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,035

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $126	-5% $89	+0% $52	+5% $15	+10% $-22
Rent	-10% $-35	-5% $8	+0% $52	+5% $96	+10% $139
Rate	-1.0pp $117	-0.5pp $85	base $52	+0.5pp $18	+1.0pp $-16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   remarks 699-char remark
4. 2026-06-16
   listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $993 · $83/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $993 · $83/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,216
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$993
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,057
• − Management: −$1,057
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable loss: −$1,596
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$383
• After-tax cash flow: $1,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Caddo Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200300
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -33.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -30.00%
• Median HH income: $39,227
• Composite: 22.23/100
• National rank: #8148
• State rank: #53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shreveport, LA
• County: Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
• City population: 164,123
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• Population (ZIP): 31,734
• Household income: $48,365
• Rent vs Own: 36.4% rent · 63.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1346.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 243,190 people
• By 2030: 237,231 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 222,502 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 206,516 · -15.1%
• By 2075: 165,706 · -31.9%
• By 2100: 122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.11%
• Current HPI: 117.801
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+116.9% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $129,900 FSBO.com
• 2014-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
• 2006-04-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2000-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.