1155 Mullanphy Rd · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$156,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this 3 bedroom ranch!! Home features 3 spacious bedrooms, large eat-in kitchen, rear deck, large level lot, and much more just waiting for your finishing touches!! HUD acquired property. All purchasers welcome to bid. Open to all purchasers without preference after bid deadline. Property being sold as is. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion when showing and bring a flashlight.
Key facts
- Recent upgrades
- 7,535 sq ft lot
- Built 1965
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, partially finished basement; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
- Recommended offer: $151k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mccurdy Elem. (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 329 students, 67% FRL); Hazelwood West High (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #407 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 2,042 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.96%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,008
- List price
- $156,000
- Delta
- -4.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1285 Flamingo Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,198 (+1%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $179 | 88 |
| 1865 Violet Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (-10%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 435 Lemondale Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+2%) | 2mo | $193,900 | $160 | 64 |
| 290 Francisca Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $133 | 63 |
| 1370 Harkee Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+13%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $141 | 61 |
| 935 Kingsbrook Ln | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,078 (-9%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $167 | 58 |
| 660 Crabapple Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,045 (-12%) | 2mo | $199,999 | $191 | 51 |
| 750 Blackbird Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,025 (-14%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $171 | 50 |
| 2250 Loveland Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,352 (+14%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $118 | 47 |
| 2328 Urbandale Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (-14%) | 1mo | $140,400 | $137 | 45 |
| 1910 Flamingo Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-14%) | 1mo | $199,500 | $195 | 42 |
| 670 Starlet Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-14%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,365
- Equity at exit
- $23,260
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $18,494
- Equity at exit
- $13,488
Cash invested: $43,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63031
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$818
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,000
- Closing costs
- $4,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1145 Swallow Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,645 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1395 Bluebird Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,599 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 855 Daniel Boone Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 9 Charlotte Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,641 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1540 Aspen Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 7d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 765 Babler Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,700 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1095 Humes Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1015 Lindsay Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2160 Splendor Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1315 Bobolink Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2400 Teakwood Manor Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2245 Lindsay Ln Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1545 Swan Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,590 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1095 Cedar Pl Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1107 | $1,710 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 13 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 13-2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13 Bruce Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14 Bruce Dr Unit Bruce 14-4 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $975 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 775 Sherwood Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,690 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 840 Dawnview Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,290 | $1.80 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 785 Florland Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2316 Millvalley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1189 | $1,696 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2485 Jenkee Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,376 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2857 Dawnview Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,325 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 155 Reeb Ln Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,331 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 167 Reeb Ln Florissant, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 2d | 4 | 1.29mi |
| 2942 Chance Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 1 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 3 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 23 Quick Dr Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2280 Keeven Ln Florissant, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 805 | $1,290 | $1.60 | 2d | 14 | 1.44mi |
| 858 Hazelvalley Dr Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $156,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $156,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $156,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $156,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $156,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $156,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $156,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $156,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $156,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $156,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $156,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $156,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $156,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $156,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-24$156,000 Active 435-char remark
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2025-01-05status Active
-
2024-12-20historical
-
2024-07-14status Active
-
2024-07-09status Pending
-
2024-06-21$160,000 Active
-
2023-10-23historical
-
2023-10-15
-
2023-08-29historical
-
2023-08-12
-
2022-12-21historical
-
2012-07-25soldstatus
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Don't miss this 3 bedroom ranch!! Home features 3 spacious bedrooms, large eat-in kitchen, rear deck, large level lot, and much more just waiting for your finishing touches!! HUD acquired property. All purchasers welcome to bid. Open to all purchasers without preference after bid deadline. Property being sold as is. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion when showing and bring a flashlight.
-
2012-04-18$37,000
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Don't miss this 3 bedroom ranch!! Home features 3 spacious bedrooms, large eat-in kitchen, rear deck, large level lot, and much more just waiting for your finishing touches!! HUD acquired property. All purchasers welcome to bid. Open to all purchasers without preference after bid deadline. Property being sold as is. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion when showing and bring a flashlight.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,135 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,135 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,738
- − Property taxes
- −$2,135
- − Insurance
- −$780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$4,538
- Taxable income
- $112
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,574/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $70,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.57%
- Current HPI
- 202.7192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+321.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $156,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-05 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-20 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-14 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-09 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-21 Listed $160,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-23 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-10-15 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2023-08-29 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-08-12 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2022-12-21 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2012-07-25 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-18 Listed $37,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2022): $2,135 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…