106 W Front St · New Carlisle, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper in New Carlisle! This 2 bedroom is packed full of potential just a stones throw from US 20, this location is hard to beat. Cash only offers. Owner hold Michigan real estate broker license.
Key facts
- 6,600 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area approximately 933
- Exterior features: Irregular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 132
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 1.5% in New Carlisle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#76 in IN, #4,702 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- New Prairie United School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #47 of 301 in IN (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.95%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,464
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -64.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 S Cherry St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 4mo | $173,000 | $180 | 82 |
| 121 S Filbert St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 958 (+3%) | 18mo | $181,000 | $189 | 77 |
| 126 E Ben St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 964 (+3%) | 20mo | $197,000 | $204 | 60 |
| 624 W Front St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-7%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $231 | 59 |
| 309 Jon St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,027 (+10%) | 16mo | $143,500 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $24,219
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $65,899
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46552
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $545
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Chapman Rd New Carlisle, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,265 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$65,000 Active 200-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,407
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Prairie United School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807560
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,887
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2989
- State rank
- #47 of 301 in IN
Livability — New Carlisle
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #4702
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Carlisle, IN
- City population
- 6,665
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,665
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 3% English 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.69%
- Current HPI
- 198.5012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…