🏷️ Likely Rental
1420 Naudain St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Built-in range; Unfinished basement; Two or more access exits; Finished living area reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,866/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1166% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $105k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.49%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 Crescent St | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 | 1,742 (+2%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $69 | 75 |
| 1815 Holly St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-0%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $84 | 74 |
| 1212 Derry St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,644 (-4%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 1209 Chestnut St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-5%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 24 S 15th St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,806 (+6%) | 3mo | $144,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 1246 Walnut St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,775 (+4%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $61 | 53 |
| 1209 Market St | 0.55mi | 5/1.5 | 1,902 (+12%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $76 | 52 |
| 1937 Zarker St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-8%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 343 Crescent St | 0.27mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,905 (+12%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 1841 Regina St | 0.73mi | 5/1.0 | 1,552 (-9%) | 6mo | $107,000 | $69 | 46 |
| 1958 Bellevue Rd | 0.65mi | 5/1.0 | 1,935 (+14%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $90 | 45 |
| 1820 Regina St | 0.75mi | 5/1.5 | 1,920 (+13%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $91 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $31,762
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $98,583
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17104
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,884/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $722
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 14d | 10 | 0.72mi |
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-16$105,000 Active
-
2022-07-28soldstatus $54,000
-
2022-07-21soldstatus $54,000 Closed 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
-
2022-05-13status Pending 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
-
2022-05-06status Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
-
2022-04-29status Pending 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
-
2022-03-22$69,000 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Come see this 5 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home at an unbelievable price. Perfect home for the first time home buyer or an investor. Home has a tenant in the property and is already producing income. Over 1,500 sq ft of living space and a detached 1 car garage make this home a must see. Come schedule your showing today!
-
1998-04-02soldstatus $35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,387
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,884
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,791
- − Management
- −$1,791
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $7,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,790
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,541
- Household income
- $46,510
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.83%
- Current HPI
- 340.2808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+192.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-22 Listed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,884 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…