125 Randolph St · Sulphur Springs, TX 75482

$185,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 862 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market

Built 2026 7,405 sqft lot Est $138k · 34% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.0/30.0
• DSCR +5.6/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautiful New construction home in Sulphur Springs, TX featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. This home offers an open floor plan with modern floors throughout and a spacious kitchen with beautiful custom countertops and ample cabinet space. The living and dining areas connect seamlessly for easy everyday living and entertaining. Located on a quiet street, this move-in-ready home combines functional design with modern finishes!

Key facts

• Quiet street
• Open floor plan
• Move-in-ready

Tags

• NEW CONSTRUCTION
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• CUSTOM COUNTERTOPS
• AMPLE CABINET SPACE
• QUIET STREET
• MOVE-IN-READY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (1.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $182k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
• Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $181,843 (1.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.66%
• DSCR: 1.16
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $137,920
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
130 Jackson St N	0.34mi	2/1.0	872 (+1%)	7mo	$137,900	$158	72
207 Whitworth St	0.44mi	2/1.0	872 (+1%)	11mo	$125,000	$143	64
312 Calvert St	0.30mi	3/2.0 (+1)	841 (-2%)	23mo	$169,000	$201	58
318 Beckham St W	0.25mi	2/1.0	970 (+12%)	10mo	$59,900	$62	56
105 Ardis St	0.23mi	2/1.0	988 (+15%)	10mo	$65,000	$66	53
814 Freeman St	0.34mi	2/1.0	750 (-13%)	6mo	$119,900	$160	53
211 Weaver Dr	0.43mi	2/1.0	780 (-10%)	13mo	$132,000	$169	49
304 Jarbo St	0.67mi	2/1.0	930 (+8%)	19mo	$178,000	$191	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-19,883
• Equity at exit: $27,584

10-year hold

• IRR: -1.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.92×
• Total profit: $-4,239
• Equity at exit: $15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75482

• Active inventory: 378
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,818 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$970
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$382
• Net cashflow: $158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618

Max offer price $185,000

Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,250
• Closing costs: $5,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
709 Fuller St Sulphur Springs, TX	3.0	2.0	1100	$2,200	$2.00	43d	1	0.36mi
325 League St S Sulphur Springs, TX	3.0	1.0	1112	$2,000	$1.80	43d	1	1.16mi
210 Duckworth St Sulphur Springs, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	700	$1,000	$1.43	43d	2	1.34mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-19
   remarks 430-char remark
2. 2026-06-19
   listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,821
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,363
• − Property taxes: −$2,775
• − Insurance: −$925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,746
• − Management: −$1,746
• − Depreciation: −$5,382
• Taxable loss: −$1,115
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$268
• After-tax cash flow: $2,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sulphur Springs ISD
• NCES district ID: 4841820
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $42,871
• Composite: 36.33/100
• National rank: #4692
• State rank: #323 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sulphur Springs

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #350
• US rank: #7665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sulphur Springs, TX
• County: Hopkins County · 26,483 people
• City population: 26,483
• Metro: Sulphur Springs, TX
• Population (ZIP): 26,483
• Household income: $69,970
• Rent vs Own: 33.5% rent · 66.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 543.0

Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 38,107 people
• By 2030: 38,867 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 40,009 · +5.0%
• By 2050: 40,448 · +6.1%
• By 2075: 40,669 · +6.7%
• By 2100: 37,234 · -2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -125.79%
• Current HPI: 156.0526
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Sulphur Springs, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B